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Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

30. I think his response to Sandy helped a lot.

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 01:09 PM

Nov 2020

He was very presidential and a leader during a crisis. His being very friendly with Republican Christie didn't hurt, either.

He also benefited from the final debate. I think it brought back a few voters who were turned off by his first debate performance. That debate, like this year, was a little over a week before the election.

2012 was basically a reverse of 2016. Whereas in 2012 the late deciders went to Obama in a close election, giving him a larger than expected win, in 2016, the late deciders went to Trump, giving him a surprise victory.

The good news about 2020 is that it's nowhere near as close as 2012 and there are not near as many undecided voters as 2016.

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WTF is going on with Real Clear Politics??? [View all] SKKY Nov 2020 OP

RCP is a republican, right-leaning outfit Tom Rivers Nov 2020 #1

I am convinced Kornacki is a Republican operative. redstatebluegirl Nov 2020 #6

Agree Cracklin Charlie Nov 2020 #11

Yes I am in agreement with you kimbutgar Nov 2020 #20

A gay Republican makes zero sense to me at all. NurseJackie Nov 2020 #27

Yup, working to save McConnell & co from themselves. nt Hortensis Nov 2020 #15

Interesting. NHK used Real Clear Politics in their reporting for their oregonjen Nov 2020 #2

First, RCP is a right-wing, conservative output organization. LonePirate Nov 2020 #3

I had no clue about RCP being right leaning. Mike 03 Nov 2020 #32

See this link LonePirate Nov 2020 #36

Look at the articles they post daily jcgoldie Nov 2020 #4

It was years before I actually noticed their headlines. lagomorph777 Nov 2020 #9

I didn't really notice either. Mike 03 Nov 2020 #33

It doesn't mirror 538 either VMA131Marine Nov 2020 #5

RCP is right wing - they're ratfucking Dennis Donovan Nov 2020 #7

Thank you. Mike 03 Nov 2020 #34

They never jive; they are far right. It took me years to notice the headlines on their home page. lagomorph777 Nov 2020 #8

They include Trafalgar polls in their averages AmericanCanuck Nov 2020 #10

I'm treating new polls at this point as pretty much meaningless now. ooky Nov 2020 #12

..👍🏼, unless 100 million more people vote tommorow thier polling is of little factor uponit7771 Nov 2020 #25

100 million with made up minds not too different from polls released in the last few days. ooky Nov 2020 #42

Exactly Rice4VP Nov 2020 #44

We have no idea how it will go. KentuckyWoman Nov 2020 #13

They don't weight their polls like 538. The Economist pollster has nothing good to say about RCP Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #14

Lots of people dismissing RCP but they're pretty accurate in their averages. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #16

You are providing us with cilla4progress Nov 2020 #18

Obama really outperformed the polls with last-minute voters in 2012 Polybius Nov 2020 #26

I think his response to Sandy helped a lot. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #30

I remember a few friends who are Democrat's criticize that hug Polybius Nov 2020 #31

I don't understand why 538 still weighs Rasmussen BadDog40 Nov 2020 #17

He uses it for more data jcgoldie Nov 2020 #29

They included new RIGHT WING OUTLIER Rasmussen and IBD/TIPP poll assumes trump gets MORE black votes Roland99 Nov 2020 #19

And there is a snowball's chance in hell of that happening. SKKY Nov 2020 #21

Counter point: Who cares what's happening at RCP? Dr. Jack Nov 2020 #22

As long as "The Trafalgar Group" gets factored in, it will skew things. RGTIndy Nov 2020 #23

It's Rasmussen pulling down the average. Yavin4 Nov 2020 #24

The horses are nearing the starting gate, gotta drive up last minute ticket sales, place your bets! Baclava Nov 2020 #28

I looked at the number, which factored in Trafalgar and Rasmussen. shrike3 Nov 2020 #35

They're including GOP pollsters...and the race is getting tighter Azathoth Nov 2020 #37

Nothing.... Willto Nov 2020 #38

Real Clear Politics includes Rasmussen, Trafalgar and polling by Trump's octoberlib Nov 2020 #39

They don't weight polls. Happy Hoosier Nov 2020 #40

They are using junk BGBD Nov 2020 #41

Stop using RCP. They always tilt Republican. clutterbox1830 Nov 2020 #43