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Fahrenthold451

(436 posts)

7. Nate is thinking that Republicans need to be up by 300,000+ by party reg.

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Original post)

Tue Nov 3, 2020, 06:48 PM

Nov 2020

Net crossover vote with Rs voting Biden probably will be 150,000 in Biden's favor. Only need about five percent of the NPA to swing Biden to tie. If Nate is Right, Biden wins by 100k votes.

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Nate Silver FL update, good news [View all] Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 OP

Florida win would be icing on a yummy cake ......... Iliyah Nov 2020 #1

Rt.. Steady as WE GO DEMS! Cha Nov 2020 #2

Party registration in FL is whacked. Laelth Nov 2020 #3

Plus... Mike Nelson Nov 2020 #4

More good FL news... GOFM Nov 2020 #5

I don't understand Nimble_Idea Nov 2020 #6

Dem turnout in 2016 was only 72 GOFM Nov 2020 #8

Nate is thinking that Republicans need to be up by 300,000+ by party reg. Fahrenthold451 Nov 2020 #7

Even more good FL news GOFM Nov 2020 #9

He estimates 3.5% is the critical turnout for the GOP sir pball Nov 2020 #10

Most of those missing counties are conservative but fairly small ... I think trump won them by a fishwax Nov 2020 #11

Watch Sumter County Florida (The Villages). Anything less than 65% for R's Biden win NightWatcher Nov 2020 #12