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Spider Jerusalem

(21,786 posts)
15. Have you looked at RCP's electoral map?
Mon Oct 1, 2012, 10:20 AM
Oct 2012

They have most of the swing states that are polling for Obama as tossups, including Nevada, Virginia, Florida and Iowa. Look here: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com

and look at the state by state polling in the sidebar and the probablities. Nate Silver got 49 out of 50 right last time; I wouldn't be betting against his numbers being as close to an accurate representation of the state of the race as we have.

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