Here's why I feel confident about Pennsylvania

[TheRealNorth]

4. I hope you're right

But I am loathe to make assumptions about there being Biden margins in the absentee ballots outside of the Philly and Pittsburgh. I think if Biden gets 50% of those votes outside the urban areas, I think he does squeak by with a win. My understanding is that election officials in the Republican areas have been slow to report those, so I do hope the Biden campaign is keeping a close eye on all of this and not being over-focused on just the Democratic areas.