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Samantha

(9,314 posts)

20. I have been there twice this morning and this is what I saw

Mon Oct 1, 2012, 11:31 AM

Oct 2012

Nate Silver said if the Presidential race were a football game, we have been in the fourth quarter for some time now. Romney is down a touchdown.

Current electoral college prediction: 320.1 versus 217.9 (advantage Obama)
Chance of winning: 85.1% versus 14.9% (advantage Obama)
Popular vote: 51.6 versus 47.4 (advantage Obama)

Important predictions key swing states:

Florida: 70.3 chance of an Obama win
Ohio: 86.1 chance of an Obama win
Virginia: 77.6 chance of an Obama win
Pennsylvania: 97.5 chance of an Obama win

My personal favorites:

Michigan: 97.4 chance of an Obama win
Wisconsin: 90.2 chance of an Obama win (once again, thanks Paul Ryan)

I personally do not see how even the debates will change anything. For me personally, if Romney came out with 50 zingers, 1 bombshell accusation against Obama, and performed a miracle by raising someone from the dead, I still would not vote for him!

Sam

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Romney is moving up in the polls. [View all] renie408 Oct 2012 OP

Because he's not been seen much lately. Laurian Oct 2012 #1

Have you ever really looked at RCP? At the front page ads? At the commentary? DainBramaged Oct 2012 #2

Yes. For the math challenged this can be very confusing. geckosfeet Oct 2012 #7

not in the swing states, Obama is getting a bigger and bigger lead in the individual graham4anything Oct 2012 #3

Wow, maybe tomorrow Nate Silver's chances of Romney winning will break 2%. n/t gkhouston Oct 2012 #4

The elctoral map as of 10/1/12 (304 Safe EV for Obama: morningfog Oct 2012 #5

And here is a little secrete, we are going to turn Arizona blue. OffWithTheirHeads Oct 2012 #6

I love that map LynneSin Oct 2012 #17

No he's not. ProSense Oct 2012 #8

I don't see it, Romney's sinking in every swing state CanonRay Oct 2012 #9

Go to Nate Silver's site and forget all this other BS CanonRay Oct 2012 #10

I have been there twice this morning and this is what I saw Samantha Oct 2012 #20

wait till thursday morning spanone Oct 2012 #11

This race is already over. porphyrian Oct 2012 #12

your concern is noted lillypaddle Oct 2012 #13

+1 tallahasseedem Oct 2012 #14

Have you looked at RCP's electoral map? Spider Jerusalem Oct 2012 #15

Are you basing this on National Popularity or Electoral VOtes LynneSin Oct 2012 #16

Popular vs electoral fugop Oct 2012 #18

Real Clear Politics has hundreds of polls on its site. You have to be more specific. stevenleser Oct 2012 #19