Here's why I feel confident about Pennsylvania

[BumRushDaShow]

16. What you are pointing out is something that I had been hoping might be the case

A couple days ago I saw a report that there were 31 counties that actually had a higher turnout than in 2016. The 31 were (to me) obviously red counties, and that was concerning regarding whether that meant yet more deplorables woke up and decided to vote.

But my other thought was that due to the availability of mail-in voting here in PA for the first time this year, which wasn't available in 2016 (only "mail-in" would be regular "absentee" with a narrow set of "excuses" that applied), and it is obviously possible that there are Democrats and Independents in those red counties (and we hear about many here on DU) who opted to go ahead and register to vote for the first time AND vote-by-mail because it gave them the freedom of voting without possible confrontation by their MAGat neighbors if voting "in person" (and aside from COVID worries).

So I am hoping some "excess" mail-ins for Joe will be coming out of those red counties from Democrats there who never voted before.