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qdouble

(891 posts)
Sat Nov 7, 2020, 02:46 AM Nov 2020

Exit Polls can be just as inaccurate as regular polls [View all]

I've been seeing a ton of people in the media and on the web talk about how they can't believe that Trump got more support among certain groups of people as if exit polls are somehow 100% accurate, when they are not. They are based on samples, just like regular polls. Exit polls quite often over or under estimate certain groups and have to be adjusted as far as how they are weighted after all of the results are fully analyzed.

Given how people voted in several different ways this year, exit polling may be even more inaccurate than normal.

So claims about Trump getting more support among people of color may be completely false.

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