Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)

8. When you have multiple methods of voting you inherently undermine exit polls

Reply to applegrove (Reply #4)

Sat Nov 7, 2020, 06:31 AM

Nov 2020

But more so in this election than any other before it, because of the virus and the different messaging of the two parties (well, Trump).

The way they're undermined is: it's no longer possible to create a truly random sample of the population using only exit polls.

Totally agree with Nance.

EXCEPT I'd bet that in states that still require ONLY in-person voting ... and have strict rules where absentee ballots are quite rare ... exit polls still hold up quite well.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

8 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Exit Polls can be just as inaccurate as regular polls [View all] qdouble Nov 2020 OP

Specifically, the issue comes from not achieving true randomness in your sampling ... mr_lebowski Nov 2020 #1

From a statistical standpoint qdouble Nov 2020 #2

Depends on how one defines 'being wrong' ... mr_lebowski Nov 2020 #3

When it comes to traditional polls, it's getting harder and harder to get a truly random sample. musicblind Nov 2020 #6

Agree on all counts ... mr_lebowski Nov 2020 #7

Malcolm Nance said that he doesn't see how exit polls, without early voter applegrove Nov 2020 #4

The exit polls are clearly off. qdouble Nov 2020 #5

When you have multiple methods of voting you inherently undermine exit polls mr_lebowski Nov 2020 #8