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modrepub

(3,985 posts)
11. In PA
Sun Nov 8, 2020, 07:42 AM
Nov 2020

Preliminary votes indicate that in most of the rural Republican counties more people voted in 2020 than 2016. That happened even though most of these counties have declining populations so they had a higher voter participation rate than the large urban areas of Philadelphia or Pittsburgh. Like it or not, Trump connected with these people and motivated them to go out and vote in larger numbers than they did in 2016 even during a pandemic. This gave Republicans several state-wide offices this election cycle that they had been losing over the last decade (and bodes well for them to hold the Senate seat that is up for 2022 and pick up future state judge positions since PA elects those).

I worry that Democratic voter's enthusiasm will wane sooner than Republican voter enthusiasm in Pennsylvania. Even with a Democratic registration advantage, Pennsylvania can and does elect Republicans to state-wide offices and they control the Legislature (and have structural advantages to keep it). If the economy truly falters then Democratic voters in this state will stay home and Republicans are going to continue to hold power in Pennsylvania if not increase it.

Pennsylvania economic tax base, like much of this country, if powered by the suburban areas in SE PA (and to some extent Pittsburgh). I'd guess counties south and east of I-81/I-78 provide the bulk of the Comonwealth's tax revenue. This revenue is probably diverted to support the rest of the state since the tax base in the bulk of the rural areas is probably not enough to support its roads and public infrastructure. A classic example of this is how the state diverts tolls from the PA turnpike to other state road projects; the bulk of PA turnpike tolls probably come from the Philadelphia area. This funneling of tax revenue from Democratic leaning areas to Republican areas needs to be halted. I don't care if Republicans control the state as long as the tax revenues are kept more local. Don't complain about socialism if your area takes more than it contributes. Live by your principles and let others live by theirs.




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This round, Democrats simply did not have to energize the base, My Pet Orangutan Nov 2020 #1
Passing something that's widely popular is not political suicide qdouble Nov 2020 #2
No, we don't have the Senate. JI7 Nov 2020 #3
The Senate race is not over qdouble Nov 2020 #4
Each state is different . There are states where candidates will have to appeal to Republicans like JI7 Nov 2020 #5
The data doesn't suggest that. qdouble Nov 2020 #7
Independents are likely to vote for Republicans also like in Georgia . It's silly to say in fucking JI7 Nov 2020 #9
There are more registered Democrats than Republicans qdouble Nov 2020 #10
If you have to depend on non voters to win than you will lose . Nobody is running away from popular JI7 Nov 2020 #12
The amount of people that vote fluctuates qdouble Nov 2020 #13
Again, what is popular can change depending on the state and district JI7 Nov 2020 #14
Outreach to Republicans helps with right leaning Independents. onenote Nov 2020 #15
This isn't binary. qdouble Nov 2020 #17
The exit polls are not accurate this time AkFemDem Nov 2020 #6
I said in my initial post that the exit polls are not accurate in terms of overall demographics. qdouble Nov 2020 #8
In PA modrepub Nov 2020 #11
You hit the nail on the head qdouble Nov 2020 #16
In A True Democracy modrepub Nov 2020 #26
Yeah... qdouble Nov 2020 #27
You'll Never Convince People In Rural Republican Areas modrepub Nov 2020 #32
This isn't about logic and truth...there are certain things we can't say...'Defund the police is Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #20
I said we should pursue "popular positions" qdouble Nov 2020 #22
Too Many Structural Disadvantages modrepub Nov 2020 #28
It's unfortunate, but you're right. "Socialist" is still a powerful word. If I had a dollar for shrike3 Nov 2020 #29
We won Republicans and moderate Democrats as well as some on the left who voted for Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #18
Trump has over a 50% disapproval rating qdouble Nov 2020 #19
Growing the base will not help us win nationally. We must win in moderate states. That is just a Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #21
False dichotomy. qdouble Nov 2020 #24
The initial cut of the data argues the opposite judeling Nov 2020 #23
The percentages did not decline qdouble Nov 2020 #25
Precinct data is not available yet. judeling Nov 2020 #30
In comparison to 2016... qdouble Nov 2020 #33
I think we have to wait for a full analysis judeling Nov 2020 #36
I think some of you guys think that I'm mad at that strategy that was chosen, but I'm not qdouble Nov 2020 #40
The most interesting response in the exit poll you cited: ooky Nov 2020 #31
Right wing media propaganda is a hell of a drug. qdouble Nov 2020 #34
We see this all the time when we listen in to Fox News or Limbaugh ooky Nov 2020 #39
+1, cause smart people are strong to normal people dumb loud bullies are "strong" to others cause uponit7771 Nov 2020 #35
There's definitely a lot of conditioning going on qdouble Nov 2020 #41
"Strong Leader" is code for "Will quell protests in cities." Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2020 #37
The candidates that lost those races weren't pushing medicare for all though qdouble Nov 2020 #43
In NE-2, which went for Biden - Kara Eastman campaigned hard on M4A Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2020 #46
Kara Eastman was never elected before. qdouble Nov 2020 #48
You obviously live in a deep blue area grantcart Nov 2020 #38
You're misinterpreting my argument. qdouble Nov 2020 #42
Didn't bother to read it because the title says it all. grantcart Nov 2020 #44
If you didn't read the post then you're not going to understand the context of my statement qdouble Nov 2020 #45
Didn't read your body because the title is obnoxious and should be scorned on its fsce grantcart Nov 2020 #49
Okay so... qdouble Nov 2020 #50
This Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2020 #47
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