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Roland99

(53,345 posts) Sun Nov 8, 2020, 08:20 PM Nov 2020

AZ Update - lead down to 16,985. But trump needs 60% of remaining 81k ballots [View all]

This is my first update of AZ's numbers today so this is a summary of all counts added by AZ today:

AZ
Biden: 1,643,664
trump: 1,626,679
Other: 52192

New Biden: 12,469
New trump: 14,094
New Other: 647

% New Biden: 45.83%
% New trump: 51.80%
% New Other: 2.38%

Diff: 16,985
Remaining (Est.): 81,209

Trump is averaging 53.6%. Well below where he would need to be. This is gonna end up close though

31 replies

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AZ Update - lead down to 16,985. But trump needs 60% of remaining 81k ballots [View all] Roland99 Nov 2020 OP

Keep seeing different numbers . . . Iliyah Nov 2020 #1

a few hours ago it was over 20k. Another batch came in not long after that. Roland99 Nov 2020 #2

That second batch was a big chunk of what remained from Pinal Amishman Nov 2020 #3

We're actually doing a little better now. StarryNite Nov 2020 #6

Pima hasn't come in yet. Biden votes there. Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #10

Pinal County (heavily favoring Trump) was at 90%, it's now at 97% greenjar_01 Nov 2020 #7

There are two red counties outstanding with about 19,000 votes. Blue_true Nov 2020 #18

AZ Secretary of State website showing only 34k ballots left... blitzen Nov 2020 #4

seems to match up with the magical 46k that were added yesterday (provisionals?) Roland99 Nov 2020 #5

Where do u see 34k ballots left? grantcart Nov 2020 #8

Difference between their "Ballots Cast" number and the total votes for the 3 candidates... blitzen Nov 2020 #11

Probably subtracting total votes cast (3,354,572) - Presidential candidates total Deuce Nov 2020 #12

FYI - AZ Recount rules Roland99 Nov 2020 #9

So it looks like the one tenth of 1% of the total votes cast rule would Blue_true Nov 2020 #23

Hasn't Arizona already been called by every possible outlet? PoindexterOglethorpe Nov 2020 #13

Only the AP and Fox LeftInTX Nov 2020 #20

Is 81,000 all that's left to count or is there Rice4VP Nov 2020 #14

not sure where the 34k from AZ SOS site comes from? Roland99 Nov 2020 #17

Someone posted the link to the SOS page Rice4VP Nov 2020 #19

yeah...i made note that I finally figured that out. :) Roland99 Nov 2020 #21

That doesn't mean that 34,000 ballots are remaining. LisaL Nov 2020 #22

By this time tomorrow hopefully Arizona and Georgia Tribetime Nov 2020 #15

There likely won't be a recount in Arizona. Blue_true Nov 2020 #24

It will fluctuate up and down. Blue_true Nov 2020 #16

Maricopa dump expected at 7pm tonight (assuming AZ time) Roland99 Nov 2020 #25

hope that really helps! We've lost nearly 2,000 of the lead since I posted this. Down to 15,020 Roland99 Nov 2020 #26

Looks like the vast majority come from Pima and Maricopa. triron Nov 2020 #28

Trump is currently averaging 55.7% BainsBane Nov 2020 #27

What are they counting with in Arizona, an abacus? marmar Nov 2020 #29

They're matching a provisional ballots with other balance of voter may have cast Roland99 Nov 2020 #31

After Trump shits all over McCain edhopper Nov 2020 #30