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Celerity

(54,010 posts)
23. I have a pretty record on POTUS. Missed 2 states in 2016 (FL and MN) Missed 2 in 2020 (GA and NC)
Wed Nov 11, 2020, 02:10 AM
Nov 2020

Said 3 million advantage (and yet lose) in 2016, 7 million and win in 2020. My map showed 305 for Biden, he will end up with 306 (GA is worth 16 EV's, NC 15 EV's).

Senate, in 2020, I fucking was off. Had us ending with a 53-47 advantage. Lose Jones, but flip 7 (got CO and AZ right)

Missed (cannot believe we lost these 4, grrrr, other than Bullock (cash starved at the end despite leading at times, he was buried by 50m USD in commie commie! (which is madness about him) RW attack adverts in the last 2, 3 weeks), it came down to (pre-warned by me but still thought they would win) weak candidates)

Maine
Montana
Iowa
North Carolina (damn sexting scandal!, idiot Cunningham, grrr)

Still alive

GA Regular (Ossoff, but his best shot was to win in November, the runoff is harder, given our historical record in them in GA, but this is NOT a normal race, same for Warnock)


House, I had us picking up 2 to 4ish, so around 235, 236 seats or so

but disaster happening as I type (and already happened in part)

if 3 super close (one is like 60 votes apart) races go against us, and the rest where the Rethug leads a bit more do as well

it would be

220 Dems, 215 Rethugs

3 defections on key votes and we cannot pass shit as long as all the Rethugs hold tight

and there may well be recounts in races already called for us

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