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Roisin Ni Fiachra

(2,574 posts)
2. Maybe this is why:
Thu Nov 12, 2020, 08:58 AM
Nov 2020
The AP does not declare a winner of an election that will be — or is likely to become — subject to a mandatory recount. In instances where a recount isn't required by law but a candidate requests one, AP will not call a race if the margin between the top two candidates is 0.5 percentage points or less.

Electoral research conducted by the AP found there have been at least 31 statewide recounts since 2000. Three of those changed the outcome of the election. The initial margins in those races were 137 votes, 215 votes and 261 votes.

Among all 31 recounts, the largest shift in results was 0.1%, in the 2006 race for Vermont’s Auditor of Accounts. This was a low turnout election in which the initial results had one candidate winning by 137 votes. The candidate eventually lost by 102 votes, for a swing of 239 votes.

The average shift in the margin between the top two candidates was 0.019 percentage points.

https://www.wbur.org/news/2020/11/09/explainer-georgia-north-carolina-trump-biden-associated-press-race-calls

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Nevertheless, automatic recount. Jirel Nov 2020 #1
Maybe this is why: Roisin Ni Fiachra Nov 2020 #2
Using that explanation, they should indeed call it Dem2 Nov 2020 #10
They have set a standard of 0.5% and the Georgia race is less than that. onenote Nov 2020 #19
All this mollycoddling of 'The Biglyest Loser' is making me sick. njhoneybadger Nov 2020 #3
It is, I think... 2naSalit Nov 2020 #4
Because of the recount, I don't think it can be called until 10 days after the election mtnsnake Nov 2020 #5
No more ballots can come in. The deadline for military and overseas ballots has passed. NT CottonBear Nov 2020 #6
Here mtnsnake Nov 2020 #8
That article is from Thursday Nov. 5. The deadline to cure ballots was Nov. 6. N/T CottonBear Nov 2020 #9
The date of the article doesn't change the meaning of its message. nt mtnsnake Nov 2020 #11
GA is not as close as MI was in 2016 Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 #7
Yeah, but emails. triron Nov 2020 #14
And they were... in the basement!!!! winstars Nov 2020 #18
In 2016, AP didn't call Michigan for more than week. onenote Nov 2020 #23
They're waiting for Republican Ratfuckery to kick in. NCDem47 Nov 2020 #12
They are being cautious; the margin is razor thin Chainfire Nov 2020 #13
Yes it is beyond! triron Nov 2020 #15
No way he can overcome the deficit Turin_C3PO Nov 2020 #25
There are fewer ballots left than the margin greenjar_01 Nov 2020 #26
Think it would be a good thing if AZ and GA were called right after the other Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #16
AP already called AZ. Recount unlikely grantcart Nov 2020 #21
Well aware of that Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #24
It seems to coddle Trump, new rule. Don't call it until after recount. They always call it before LizBeth Nov 2020 #17
They didn't call Michigan in 2016 until after the time for requesting a recount onenote Nov 2020 #22
The recount is the excuse, though that's never stopped them before coti Nov 2020 #20
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