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LeftInTX

(34,031 posts)

8. Doesn't 1% mortality mean that 1% of the people who contact it die?

Reply to Arkansas Granny (Original post)

Mon Dec 7, 2020, 03:02 AM

Dec 2020

Not one 1% of the US population.

Where I live the Covid mortality is 1,537/86,998 = 1.77%
In the state it is 23,187/1,340,000 = 1.7%
In the US 282,000/14,800,000 =1.9%
In the world 1.54M/67M = 2.5%

I agree the severity of the disease is not taken into consideration...I think when it first arrived on the scene, people were expecting 1% mortality and weren't aware of the long term, systemic consequences. Most people perceived it like a bad pneumonia. I think all the consequences are causing the death rate to go higher. When it first arrived, people were expecting that healthy young adults would get through this and not-so-healthy adults would also be OK. It was supposed to be fatal to the elderly.

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What 1% mortality really means. [View all] Arkansas Granny Dec 2020 OP

This is worse than the Spanish Flu as far as percentages go... BigmanPigman Dec 2020 #1

Not apples to apples FBaggins Dec 2020 #12

It's actually 2+% mortality coti Dec 2020 #2

The author of the tweet is using the 1% figure since that is the number Arkansas Granny Dec 2020 #4

There was an article in the NYT last week captain queeg Dec 2020 #6

That assumes that 100% are tested FBaggins Dec 2020 #11

Case Fatality Rate vs Infection Fatality Rate myccrider Dec 2020 #22

It would be nice if the writer had included sources for those numbers. Mariana Dec 2020 #3

Another thing left out of this is PoindexterOglethorpe Dec 2020 #5

K&R for visibility Blue Owl Dec 2020 #7

Doesn't 1% mortality mean that 1% of the people who contact it die? LeftInTX Dec 2020 #8

IIRC, in the beginning Fauci said SARS2 would DeminPennswoods Dec 2020 #9

CV19 Death rate is 3.2% of RESOLVED cases. People who are still alive with C19 as sick but... uponit7771 Dec 2020 #10

Resolved isn't a useful statistic FBaggins Dec 2020 #13

Its the least speculative number we have right now of the death rate and is how its been calculated uponit7771 Dec 2020 #15

That advantage does not outweigh the disadvantage FBaggins Dec 2020 #16

The issue being addressed here is hard data vs guesses, WOM is giving hard data. the rest has not .. uponit7771 Dec 2020 #17

No it isn't FBaggins Dec 2020 #18

I'll believe worldwide scientist vs wild estimates one can pull out of a tree (link to worldometers) uponit7771 Dec 2020 #19

Have you read your own source? FBaggins Dec 2020 #20

Yeah, you left out of the part before nave and misleading. I'm talking about what we ... KNOW ... uponit7771 Dec 2020 #21

To repeat: It matters WHO is getting CV nitpicker Dec 2020 #14