General Discussion

Bucky

(55,334 posts)

10. Love the news, but historically these things always take 7-10 days to settle out.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Sun Oct 7, 2012, 12:25 PM

Oct 2012

That was a trend I first noticed in the 90s when I got into the polling business and started watching how polls reacted to sudden swings in the news. My observations since then have generally confirmed it, particularly with elections--including this year's. The slide down to 4-7% deficits for Romney took more than a week to occur following his crappy run of stupid comments in September. Before drawing conclusions, always wait for the public perception to seep for at least a week before expecting to see any movement.

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Gallup Poll-Obama (D) 49% Romney ($) 46% NO CHANGE [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 OP

Haha love the ($) treestar Oct 2012 #1

TY DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #6

And some heads on DU explode. BumRushDaShow Oct 2012 #2

Why? regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #21

i think that has already happened.... madrchsod Oct 2012 #22

Sigh of relief..... cheriemedium59 Oct 2012 #3

Hopefully people will relax... skeewee08 Oct 2012 #4

I'm not sure why we should relax. Baitball Blogger Oct 2012 #13

Congratulations Mr. President on your re-election. graham4anything Oct 2012 #5

yay Liberal_in_LA Oct 2012 #7

Take THAT Mr. Romney flamingdem Oct 2012 #8

Hey! Let's all tweet @crowleyCNN the poll attachment Kahuna Oct 2012 #11

yays! You know I still have to figure out how to do that flamingdem Oct 2012 #14

I believe so, but double-check here: Indpndnt Oct 2012 #16

That would do it, or you could paste the link in the thread. Kahuna Oct 2012 #17

The Professor and the Huckster. Class and Crass. Gin and Fizz. Tortoise and Hare. cr8tvlde Oct 2012 #9

Love the news, but historically these things always take 7-10 days to settle out. Bucky Oct 2012 #10

The Polls Are A Reflection Of Peoples Attitudes, Of Course DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #12

This has an upside, because so much of the post-debate spin cilla4progress Oct 2012 #18

Fortunately for our President. bluestate10 Oct 2012 #19

Okay, that ($) made me laugh! Indpndnt Oct 2012 #15

Good, looks like Romney is bumping up against his ceiling. BenzoDia Oct 2012 #20