Gallup Facepalm

[gcomeau]

4. Arg.... NO.

"So yes, Now that I recognize that there's a day missing in their "tie" story it is easy to calculate the missing day (10/3) as having been 52-46, and yesterday (10/7) Obama polled a crazy one-day sample of roughly 57-38."

Yes, that is a crazy one day sample. There is no way that happened and you cannot calculate any number like that from the available data... for one simple reason. You do not know the numbers from the day that dropped off on the same day as the 10/7 numbers were added. That has not been published anywhere and it is absolutely necessary data to perform the calculation you are describing here.

The *only* thing we can tell from the data provided is that 10/7 was better than 9/30. 9/30 could have been really great and 10/7 was fantastic... or 9/30 could have been kind of crappy and 10/7 was ok.