General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Heh, Pew Research Poll... sampled 80% Moderate to Conservative voters, nearly 40% from the south, [View all]svip
(22 posts)There are alot of things to question this poll about, but regional specifics are not one of them for the most part.
The south, as most consider it, makes up about 16 states. The population of those 16 states is about 114,500,000 (rounded). It makes up a little over 37% of our population. In the poll, southerners are represented by about 37.5% of LV.
They do need to flip the midwest and west to get a more accurate representation solely of population.
But that's before going into the number of eligible voters from each region, which could change the numbers completely. And I'm not taking the time to look into that.
As far as voter turnout of those registered in each region, it was nearly identical in every region in '08.
I'd focus more heavily on the age of voters. +5 Repub crosstab. Voter ID for Repubs level beyond even that of 2010. Women swinging nearly 20pts in favor of Romney. Young voters going to Romney. And more importantly, Romney gaining 10pts on who would help the middle class and poor.
Remember, Pew's last poll was out BEFORE the 47% comments. But even with those, Pew still has Romney gaining pretty heavily in this regard.