Ominous Sign For Romney In Today’s Gallup Numbers -- Obama Returning To Pre-Debate Levels

[anAustralianobserver]

16. Oh so now I'm supposed to trust the polls again?

Last edited Wed Oct 10, 2012, 06:03 PM - Edit history (1)

(Note: this is not aimed at the OPer but at the punditocracy and follow-the-crowders, including sometimes MSNBC.)


While Gallup was probably measuring a real temporary bump here (they may be one of the honest ones); I reserve my right to be highly sceptical of Big Polling.

The time to be most sceptical of polls is when the big media wants to make a historical imprint. I believe a lot of the polls build credibility capital with real polling so they can spend it at critical points - which then feeds back and affects the real polls.

Or are we supposed to believe political polling (which has what oversight?) is not routinely used to shape opinion instead of just reflect it - and that somehow this powerful factor in discouragement/encouragement and influence has remained pure?