GOP registration drop after Capitol attack is part of larger trend [View all]

[Gothmog]

I was pleased to see the GOP lose a good number of voters due to the attacks/acts of terrorism committed on Jan. 6. The GOP has been losing voters due to some interesting demographic trends and soon the GOP will be composed of mainly non-college educated males. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/gop-registration-drop-after-capitol-attack-part-larger-trend-n1256966

WASHINGTON — In the weeks since the January riot at the Capitol, there has been a raft of stories about voters across the country leaving the Republican Party. Some of the numbers are eye-catching and suggest that the GOP may be shrinking before our eyes, but a closer look at the numbers over time shows that a larger change has been working its way through the party for some time.

In fact, when one takes into account shifts in the composition of the Democratic Party, the real story seems to be more about a deeper remaking of the nation’s two major political parties.

To be sure, the headlines from the last few weeks have been striking, with multiple states reporting large declines in Republican voter registrations.

....Yet, in a broader sense, these numbers and others show party movement and they suggest a larger change may be underway within the GOP and the Democrats. Data from the NBC News poll show some notable changes over the last decade.

We took merges of our poll data from 2010 and 2020 to look at the profiles of the two major parties over that time and we found big shifts in education, profession and gender. Let's start with education

And beyond education and occupation, the parties have seen some sharp shifts in gender.

Trump may be accelerating these trends and driving key groups away from the GOP so that only poorly educated white males will be left supporting the GOP.