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DemocratSinceBirth

(101,941 posts)

3. According To 2008 Exit Polls , Latinos Comprised 9% Of The Electorate

Reply to McCamy Taylor (Original post)

Wed Oct 10, 2012, 12:50 PM

Oct 2012

http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/#USP00p1

I think out of the 1,116 respondents in Pew's likely voter model only 57 were Latino.

If people of color come out in the same numbers as they did in 08 Romney will likely lose. The Obama campaign thinks it can win with 38% of the white voter. They received 43% of the white vote in 2008. Recent Democratic presidential losers like Kerry, Gore, and Dukakis all received greater than forty percent of the white vote.

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The Problem With the Pew Poll [View all] McCamy Taylor Oct 2012 OP

thanks for the summary Ghost of Tom Joad Oct 2012 #1

This poll should not be taken seriously based upon the exclusion of Latinos alone. Dawson Leery Oct 2012 #2

According To 2008 Exit Polls , Latinos Comprised 9% Of The Electorate DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #3

That 57 is an unweighted number cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #6

"Pew thinks..." No, Pew doesn't "think" that cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #4

How Likely Is It That Latinos Will Real Comprise 45% Less Of Their Share Of This Electorate DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #5

That requires substituting my assumptions for data cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #8

Dude, part of the art of conducting surveys is knowing how to do a statistical sample. McCamy Taylor Oct 2012 #7

Dude, read replies #3 and #5 cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #9