The pandemic is in retreat

[Massacure]

28. That's hard to say.

My gut feeling is that the D.C. riots did not help the pandemic, but that they were too small in scale relative to the population of the entire United States to say anything definitively. There were a couple of days over the holidays where the TSA screened more than a million passengers. The number of protesters/rioters was only a fraction of that. Good estimates aren't available, but it was probably greater than 10,000 and less than 100,000.

The seven day average rate of infection was declining through December 28, when it was at 185,579 people per day. December 29 was the first day of increase and that increase sustained itself until peaking on January 11 at 255,258 people per day. It's been dropping ever since. The seven day average infection rate was at 105,798 people per day yesterday, which is the best reading since November 6.