General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Surface Contact Spread of COVID is Real [View all]Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)You are assuming that contaminated surfaces are common. They arent. The virus does not survive long. Contaminated surfaces outside of clinical situations- a covid ward for example - are rare.
So you first have to determine the probability of contact with a contaminated surface, then apply the probability of infection from that contact.
For example, if the probability of any random surface being contaminated is 1 in 1,000,000, which seems reasonable to me, the chance you will get covid from touching a random surface is 1 in 100,000,000,000.
Pick a higher probability of surface contamination: 1:10,000, you still have essentially zero chance of getting covid from surfaces.
Findings of these studies suggest that the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection via the fomite transmission route is low, and generally less than 1 in 10,000, which means that each contact with a contaminated surface has less than a 1 in 10,000 chance of causing an infection 7, 8, 9.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/more/science-and-research/surface-transmission.html