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Moostache

(11,153 posts)
3. Data is meaningless without co-morbidities included...
Thu Apr 15, 2021, 01:02 PM
Apr 2021
77,000,000 vaccinated
5,800 'breakthrough' cases = 0.0075% of vaccinated

That is a 99.9925% success rate at avoiding infection to date - for a virus that is highly transmissible and had a mortality rate around 1% for the infected without vaccines.

396 hospitalizations = 6.83% of breakthrough (0.00051% of vaccinated)
74 deaths = 1.28% of breakthrough (0.000096% of vaccinated)

What's my point?

IF you are vaccinated, the odds are not just a little improved overall, they are OVERWHELMING in your favor...nothing is EVER 100% safe...but I like my odds of avoiding infection (99.9925%), hospitalization (99.99949%) or death (99.999904%) WITH the vaccine versus without it.

Most people think that 1% is a low risk activity, or maybe even 0.1% - which is why there are so many "anti-maskers" out there (they simply do not believe it will impact them and do not care if it imapcts someone else instead). The efficacy of the vaccines for preventing the worst outcomes - hospitalization or death - is extremely high, orders of magnitude better to be vaccinated than not.

I suspect that the success will be even more pronounced when co-morbidities are factored in to outcomes.

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