Guys, I'm new to your forum and have followed your discussion. I've specifically followed the discussion on North Carolina, which is my home state. North Carolina has never been leaning either direction. Even PPP has stipulated neither candidate has had more than a 3 point lead after about 27 consecutive surveys.
Their newest Poll is no different regardless of the gap in white voters. In 2008, McCain had essentially the same gap. McCain also had essentially the same gap in the independent votes. President Obama's strength is in the urban areas such as Charlotte,Greensboro, Durham, Winston Salem, Raleigh and even around Ft Bragg. Those areas have more population and potential Democratic votes than the rural areas. You don't see Republican's efforts mostly in these areas. They go to the rural areas where you have religious evangelicals.
Watch people need to watch is the effects of President Obama's voter registration efforts. The results are not final. It looks like he will go above 2008. What is noticeable, Governor Perdue got a higher total than Obama, and a lot of Democrats didn't even vote, or Obama could have took North Carolina by an even larger margin. Right now, the African American registration is 100,000 votes ahead of the entire 2008 result. If he can get those people to the Polls, Obama will take North Carolina. What he needs, is to get people to those urban areas. I know the First Lady will be in Chapel Hill on the 18th. Enthusiasm for Blacks is at 80% in North Carolina.