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ScratchCat

(2,716 posts)

2. It may traditionally be conventional wisdom

Reply to BlueTsunami2018 (Reply #1)

Wed May 12, 2021, 12:23 PM

May 2021

But I think things are different this time. First, the complete repudiation of Trump will result in lower GOP voters. Further, Its a mid term, so there are always fewer voters to begin with. I also think because the GOP scraped up every possible voter it could find in 2020, there's going to be "voting fatigue" among the GOP and the numbers will be lower than typical for a mid term. All in all - there wont be vote totals anywhere near 2020 level.

Also, it also depends upon Biden's approval rating come 2022. If the economy is trucking along, and he has high numbers, GOP wont get close to taking back the House. It really depends upon what happens between now and then.

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Can you imagine Pelosi saying in 2017 "I'm looking forward to being Speaker in the next Congress"? [View all] StarfishSaver May 2021 OP

They expect to win. BlueTsunami2018 May 2021 #1

It may traditionally be conventional wisdom ScratchCat May 2021 #2

Expecting to win is one thing. Saying "I'm looking forward to being Speaker" is another StarfishSaver May 2021 #4

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actually she wasn't expecting to be Speaker dsc May 2021 #10