OH SHIT. Is the Supreme Court About To Swing Another Presidential Election?

[Capn Sunshine]

21. Early voting has already started in Ohio.

IN a sense, it will be a moot point. The churches that traditionally do souls to the polls the Sunday before election day in Ohio say about half of their congregations have already voted.

Early turnout in Ohio is measured in terms of % of the vote by (in our case ) Democratic leaning counties.

These numbers are looking good.

Democrats appear to be benefiting from bigger early turnout in heavily Democratic Franklin County (home to Columbus), where more than 62,000 people have cast early votes (about 11 percent of the county’s total 2008 turnout). While the county comprised less than 10 percent of the state’s overall turnout in 2008, it’s so far been 23 percent of the early vote in 2012.

Another Democratic area — Cincinnati-based Hamilton County — is making up about 11 percent of the early vote, even though it was only 7 percent of the overall turnout four years ago.

This data should not be oversold, though. These are more urban areas, which tend to have higher early voting turnout. And other counties paint a different picture.

In the state’s third big population center (and Democratic stronghold), Cleveland-based Cuyahoga County, early voting turnout is so far below the state average. And in one of the GOP’s biggest vote-grossing counties — Warren County — turnout is strong.*

*From Sunday Washington Post Why the early vote looks good for DemocratsPosted by Aaron Blake on October 15, 2012 at 1:31 pm