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Yavin4

(37,182 posts)

16. A more plausible explanation is that the rate of transmission amongst the unvaxxed is spreading...

Reply to Shermann (Original post)

Thu Jun 17, 2021, 07:05 PM

Jun 2021

faster than the original strain, and at the same time, the number of fully vaxxed grows everyday. This explains why the overall case counts are falling but the Delta strain grows.

As long as there are large swaths of the American public unvaxxed, we will see the virus spread primarily among that population.

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Back-of-the-envelope Delta variant math [View all] Shermann Jun 2021 OP

Right now the numbers in my state are fabulous. I'm getting out as much as I can. But Scrivener7 Jun 2021 #1

But cases overall are down AZSkiffyGeek Jun 2021 #2

There's still so much we don't know about this... regnaD kciN Jun 2021 #3

I've seen reports that the mRNA vaccines are effective AZSkiffyGeek Jun 2021 #4

Astrazeneca is 92% effective after the 2nd dose. OnDoutside Jun 2021 #10

The Pfizer vaccine is 88% effective against the Delta variant SoonerPride Jun 2021 #5

Any idea how J and J is? imaginary girl Jun 2021 #6

I have not. SoonerPride Jun 2021 #7

Thanks! Nt imaginary girl Jun 2021 #17

from the figures in the OP, absolute numbers of Delta increased Blues Heron Jun 2021 #8

Pfizer is also fairly effective. ananda Jun 2021 #15

absolute numbers of Delta went up even as total numbers fell Blues Heron Jun 2021 #9

Exactly Shermann Jun 2021 #11

n is too small to extrapolated BGBD Jun 2021 #19

Why unlikely? Shermann Jun 2021 #20

What's (maybe) even worse... TraceNC Jun 2021 #12

And yet, when I post that we should mandate vaccines, everyone clutches their Libertarian pearls. Yavin4 Jun 2021 #13

We actually hit 2 million vaccinations today BannonsLiver Jun 2021 #14

A more plausible explanation is that the rate of transmission amongst the unvaxxed is spreading... Yavin4 Jun 2021 #16

This is entirely consistent with both of my hypotheses nt Shermann Jun 2021 #18