General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Vaccinated People Are Dying From Delta Variant, But In Small Nos., Almost All Are Over 50: UK Data [View all]Ms. Toad
(38,902 posts)You asserted that "Over 99.9+% of vaccinated people safe from Delta variant"
Not to mention that you don't understand (or are deliberately misrepresenting) what the numbers you are quoting represent: A snapshot in time of how many had contracted it- not a precition of how many will. That snapshot is limited to:
- A collection of people who had been vaccinated for varying lengths of time
- A very short period of potential exposure (a few months at most)
- Mitigation measures (masks, social distancing)
What you are saying is the logical equivalent of declaring, in March 2020, that Americans were perfectly safe because in the snapshot taken on that date only a handful of people had actually contracted COVID.
Exposure to more unmasked people will increase the number of vaccinated people who contract COVID and die from it.
Exposure over a longer period of time will increase the number of vaccinated people who contract COVID and die from it.
As time goes on and mitigation measures decline, the illness and death toll will go up - because both duration of exposure and decrease of mitigation measures bump up the number of exposures that would cause COVID in an unvaccinated person - and 5% of those (or more for the Delta variant, or for those with the J&J vaccine). That's what vaccine effectivenes measures: Of 100 exposures that would cause COVID in an unvaccinated person, 5 will cause COVID in an mRNA vaccinated person; 12 if the variant is the Delta variant; 25 if the vaccine was J&J)