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In reply to the discussion: Lying by Omission about Break-Thru Covid-19 Infections? [View all]Celerity
(53,483 posts)14. these insanely high claims for effectiveness against infection are bullshit, pure and simple
here is a reply I did in regards to another OP
The OP claimed

this tweet kicked it off
Link to tweet
They are literally claiming that vaccines, across the board, all vaccines, all variants, have a 99.924% effectiveness rate at preventing infection.
Their exact words (and similar massively inflated numbers in those tweets in THIS new OP I am replying to) were
Chances of Vaccinated Catching Covid
They did not say having symptomatic illness, or say having severe illness, or requiring hospitalisation, or say ending up with ICU level illness and/or death.
No, they said simply catching the infection.
This is simply untrue.
1. The CDC doesn't even track non hospitalised breakthrough cases for vaxxed people.
2. The actual scientific studies show that at BEST (Pfizer against the origin strain) the top-performing vaccine had a 95% or so efficacy rate at preventing infection. That is down to (again with the best vax results) 80% against Delta for the Pfizer vax at preventing infections, (88% efficacy are preventing symptomatic disease). J & J is far worse across the board, 66-72% for the origin strain, and now studies are showing as low as 33% against Delta (and that is just preventing symptomatic disease, NOT stopping all infections). Against certain variants, certain vaccines are a complete fail. The non US-used (but massively used in other nations) AstraZeneca vaccine, for instance, only has a 10.4% efficacy rate versus the Beta (B.1.351 aka South African) variant.
3. Efficacy from clinical trails is very often higher than real world EFECTIVENESS.
https://www.factcheck.org/scicheck_digest/what-does-it-mean-to-say-a-vaccine-has-94-percent-efficacy-or-higher/

To make it ULTRA simple: If the Pfizer vax efficacy (the actual real world effectiveness was lower, around 90%) was 95% against THE ORIGIN STRAIN (which was massively less potent than Delta) that means 5% (and 10% in the real world) BREAKTHROUGH infections. 10 out of every 100 Pfizer vaxxed people had breakthrough infections, and that was against the origin strain, not Delta.
The other vaccines were lower, and especially lower (including Pfizer) against the variants.
To claim these 99.9+% real world effectiveness rates against any infection (which they are claiming) is a dangerous lie.
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Exactly. I find the OP as offensive/seemingly willfully clueless as the accusations from other side
hlthe2b
Aug 2021
#5
I'm not even sure what you're saying. They're not lying. The vaccine is highly effective.
Dream Girl
Aug 2021
#4
Then why are they quoting statistics using months old data? No need to get personal.
bluewater
Aug 2021
#16
Who is "they"? Some random person on Twitter? The Tweet is not official just some random
Dream Girl
Aug 2021
#31
Yet you titled your post to imply CDC was "lying by omission." NO, you simply need to be able
hlthe2b
Aug 2021
#50
Your disingenous explanation without accepting responsibillity & editing your OP to clarify
hlthe2b
Aug 2021
#54
No. I am attacking your posts and questioning your motivation in not correcting erroneous
hlthe2b
Aug 2021
#59
And more have seen your baseless attacks on CDC that only helps the RW destroy confidence in
hlthe2b
Aug 2021
#62
If those numbers were 10 times worse than the vaccine was still be great and working as planned
uponit7771
Aug 2021
#10
You do understand that any one can post anything on social media. I could post year old data
Dream Girl
Aug 2021
#33
these insanely high claims for effectiveness against infection are bullshit, pure and simple
Celerity
Aug 2021
#14
It is VERY simple math, the 95% for Pfizer efficacy and 90% effectiveness numbers against infection
Celerity
Aug 2021
#27
It doesn't seem to be helping, I see a lot of doubling down and some ridiculing of other
Celerity
Aug 2021
#38
The ironic AF thing is that some of this is coming from people who are hardcore about masks!
bluewater
Aug 2021
#43
Also, over in the UK (I live in Sweden but I am London-raised) they had a very different outcome
Celerity
Aug 2021
#44
I do not see any good purpose for wilful and vast over-inflation of COVID-prevention numbers.
Celerity
Aug 2021
#47
We don't do ourselves any favors by overestimating the effectiveness of the vaccines.
dawg
Aug 2021
#25
"It's distressing that there are so many here that willfully focus on the negative..."
bluewater
Aug 2021
#84
"If a state had a 100% vaccination rate, what percent of new cases would be breakthrough?"
bluewater
Aug 2021
#102
I think it equally dishonest when people say even if you are vaccinated you are at any real risk
GulfCoast66
Aug 2021
#39
No, it's not lying, either "on purpose" or by accident. The data is incomplete
muriel_volestrangler
Aug 2021
#48
"What we really need is a figure for total breakthrough infections from some time in June."
bluewater
Aug 2021
#51
"They are using the most current data they can - that's the point" No, they are not.
bluewater
Aug 2021
#94
I think you are personally assuming something that no one else does, and which is unrealistic
muriel_volestrangler
Aug 2021
#97
You're assuming that 100% people will get infected in the absence of a vaccine.
muriel_volestrangler
Aug 2021
#116
Here's a nice article stating how much more contagious the delta variant is:
bluewater
Aug 2021
#119
The problem is that you are demanding that people only talk about what you want to hear
muriel_volestrangler
Aug 2021
#125
Again, you're blaming an article for not stating what you wanted it to state
muriel_volestrangler
Aug 2021
#128
The only truly reliable data for ALL breakthrough infections of any sort in a group are the vax
Celerity
Aug 2021
#76
yes, I bookmarked this thread as I have posted a fair amount of hard data in it
Celerity
Aug 2021
#81
Have to agree with all that. I'm just trying to figure out how to get through the next month.
Tomconroy
Aug 2021
#104
No, that is wrong. Sorry. You are now delving into utter randomness as you are not taking into
Celerity
Aug 2021
#111
The vax trial we are in used both lab-grown and then later on, wild strain variants
Celerity
Aug 2021
#115