General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Lying by Omission about Break-Thru Covid-19 Infections? [View all]muriel_volestrangler
(105,490 posts)because the infections have not, since the start of May, been regularly broken done into "vaccinated" (partly or fully) and "unvaccinated". That is not, however, the fault of the media reporting this.
NBC estimates at least 125,000 breakthrough infections by the end of July. A few states still gave no usable figures, so it's probably a but more than that. We know there had been about 10,000 breakthrough infections at the end of April. So we can say perhaps 130,000 in all states, from the end of April to the end of July.
On average, about 120 million people were fully vaccinated in those 3 months. But the daily rate of infection varied a lot in that period, coming down from 50,000 at the start to about 13,000 by the end of June, and that was mostly non-Delta. The increase to 80,000 has been mainly Delta. What we really need is a figure for total breakthrough infections from some time in June. Without that, estimating the difference in Delta and non-Delta breakthroughs is very difficult.
But giving the total breakthrough infections does not underestimate the number of Delta breakthrough infections. You know it can't be higher than the total, and they never try to say "lots of that is Alpha or other". Take the Delta breakthrough infections as 130,000 in the past 3 months, and the total of all known Delta infections as 1.6 million, and about half the adult population fully vaccinated, and that's a relative rate of 130,000:1,470,000, or about 1:11.