General Discussion

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

22. We were aware of the original article and we have a top level statistician who has committed

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 10:33 AM

Oct 2012

to giving it a close look today after work.

But for us it has never been about the numbers, but about the scam.

If you were planning to punk Nate Silver and RCP and the rest what would you do?

Start with a whole bunch of really normal numbers, then when you wanted to have the greatest impact start manufacturing the real bias.

One of Kaplan's mistakes was that they started to get creative too early.

We have two Kaplan interviews and in both cases he has given us valuable information and lied openly.

So the more interviews he does the better for us.

I will note that after issuing polls on a rapid fire basis:

Oct

3 Colorado
3 Nevada
5 Michigan
5 colorado
6 North Carolina
13 Florida

Gravis Marketing has stopped issuing new polling results.

What does that tell you?

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46 replies

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Highlight:

Gravis Exposed - America's Greatest Pollster Gets the Full Monty Index Updated 10/19/12 15:48 EST [View all] grantcart Oct 2012 OP

Congrats on Daily Kos choosing your article! dixiegrrrrl Oct 2012 #1

thanks grantcart Oct 2012 #23

K&R flamingdem Oct 2012 #2

Day-um, grantcart! Indpndnt Oct 2012 #3

"our group" you too are a part of it. grantcart Oct 2012 #6

Excellent work. K&R Doremus Oct 2012 #4

thanks and thanks for giving me a reason to kick it in the morning. grantcart Oct 2012 #39

Thank you! dmr Oct 2012 #5

thank you grantcart Oct 2012 #18

grantcart for DUer Of The Year reflection Oct 2012 #7

Outstanding work. RagAss Oct 2012 #8

Kick for the addition. grantcart Oct 2012 #9

Back to the top! eom Maeve Oct 2012 #10

. n/t porphyrian Oct 2012 #11

Kick... MuhkRahker Oct 2012 #12

New entry coming soon folks jsmirman Oct 2012 #13

kick grantcart Oct 2012 #14

Who is this "Thomas Young, ph.D." in this Colorado poll report? MuhkRahker Oct 2012 #15

He is not a "known associate" grantcart Oct 2012 #16

I figured, it was a dead-end for me too. MuhkRahker Oct 2012 #17

I learn something everyday at DU! Thanks K&R! B Calm Oct 2012 #19

Thank you, grantcart. Wow. n/t Judi Lynn Oct 2012 #20

Michael Weiss at Logarchism updates that he has conducted an interview w/ Kaplan about this... MuhkRahker Oct 2012 #21

We were aware of the original article and we have a top level statistician who has committed grantcart Oct 2012 #22

Gravis is supposed to be releasing new polls today. MuhkRahker Oct 2012 #24

Updated on the projection of new threads grantcart Oct 2012 #25

Grantcart, You. Are. Awesome. That's all. n/t AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #26

thanks grantcart Oct 2012 #38

Kick NorCen_CT Oct 2012 #27

Another thread made me think... ohheckyeah Oct 2012 #28

Yup. MuhkRahker Oct 2012 #29

Kicking an ocean of info! Fantastic work! countryjake Oct 2012 #30

Update please!!! MuhkRahker Oct 2012 #31

updated as requested grantcart Oct 2012 #32

Thanks! MuhkRahker Oct 2012 #33

I don't tweet grantcart Oct 2012 #34

kick for the statistical thread update. grantcart Oct 2012 #35

kick - don't forget to add jsmirman Oct 2012 #36

I had edited it but got interupted by a phone call. grantcart Oct 2012 #37

Kicking this important index. MuhkRahker Oct 2012 #40

Rec and Kicky. longship Oct 2012 #41

Extremely Informative Dalai_1 Oct 2012 #42

K & R Scurrilous Oct 2012 #43

kick grantcart Oct 2012 #44

kick grantcart Oct 2012 #45

kick grantcart Nov 2012 #46