Just curious, is ANYONE here in favor of US Military Intervention if China invades Taiwan?

[DFW]

31. I know. The conventional wisdom is that they never pursued nuclear weapons

However, the conventional wisdom of ten years ago didn't account for the PRC's huge territorial expansion, particularly when it came to building military bases on artificial atolls being expanded by land reclamation all over the western Pacific. Ten years ago, in the case of an invasion, Taiwan would have been facing an attack from one front. Now, it would be facing an assault from all sides. I think that the fact that a secret nuclear capacity is highly unlikely is precisely why they might feel they could get away with a clandestine one. It would have to be EXTREMELY clandestine, as their military is almost surely penetrated by moles from the mainland. I see nukes as their means of last resort, and I doubt the mainland wants them to feel the slightest desire to use them.

My most-likely scenario for a successful takeover of Taiwan by the mainland is the strategy Putin tried on us--infiltrate their political parties with sympathizers/moles, poison the domestic political atmosphere to the point that the government is politically neutralized, a mole (witting or unwitting) gets to be head of state, and he hands Beijing the keys to the realm without Beijing having to fire as much as a single shot.

If it comes to a shooting war, both sides lose. Taiwan would only get involved in something like that as a last ditch act of desperation, and they see their independence as good as lost. Under that scenario, I think they would not hesitate to take as much of the PRC down with them as they possibly could.