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BumRushDaShow

(139,075 posts)
62. Neither the Provincetown nor Wisconsin publications
Wed Aug 25, 2021, 11:50 AM
Aug 2021

were "designed" to be "research" or "a study" but were more shoe-horned into being one in the midst of ALL reported cases in their respective Counties. They are simply compiled and reported data of what they found out about the outbreaks in those locations in some detail, and adding background info so that readers can get some context for what was found. So a "peer review" is really not something that would be meaningful per se.

I.e., when CDC reports out the data sent to them from all the states and territories, their reporting is not a "study" or "research". It's simply reporting the data, and that data can be broken down into various data sets by location, demographics, etc.

So if I look at the CDC's data and graph of reported cases in say Florida, and see the plot is showing a spike over a 2 week period, I should be safe saying - "Hey that is a spike of cases over the past 2 weeks, so something happened or is happening to cause that", rather than saying - "That line on the plot that is going up over the past 2 weeks means nothing because it hasn't been 'peer reviewed'".

What usually CAN happen in those cases is that someone could do "a study" using what they call "meta-analysis", where they will gather information from numerous topically-related studies and/or topically-related compilations of data, and then analyze that for any trends and/or correlations across data sets.

Your reference to what the UK did, which I assume is this - https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/227713/coronavirus-infections-three-times-lower-double/

doesn't really preclude or negate the findings from Wisconsin or Provincetown. In the case for all 3, they established that the vaccinated CAN contract and shed the virus, but obviously at lower rates. That is EXACTLY what the scatter plot from the Wisconsin report showed -



The little graph at the very bottom right-hand corner has the left side of the plot with gray dots (those dots being the relative amount of virus found in unvaccinated cases) and has the right side with the yellow dots (those dots being the relative amount of virus found in the vaccinated cases), and it's obvious that the "vaccinated" have less "dots" than the "unvaccinated". THAT is the benefit of getting vaccinated in the first place. It shows the vaccines are working.

But the problem here is that the vaccinated even have "that much", which is a new finding compared to previous variants.

But to make it clear, no vaccine is 100%, and I think THAT is the real message. It never has been - even with the so-called "childhood" vaccines. For example, there are some new mutated strains of Polio that are out in the wild nowadays and there is an updated vaccine to deal with that going through trials and an approval process.

So there's nothing that the UK's publication found that is somehow contradictory to what was found in Wisconsin and Provincetown.

The point is that compared to previous variants, Delta has produced a significant ("non-zero" ) amount of itself in vaccinated people, and that amount can (but obviously not ALL of the time) be shed and spread.

Very smart move!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! n/t RKP5637 Aug 2021 #1
Rig a hoop throwing game with a giant teddy bear as a prize. CrispyQ Aug 2021 #2
2 million attendees. She's definitely making the correct decision. bullwinkle428 Aug 2021 #3
Not on the day she would have gone, though. MineralMan Aug 2021 #4
I was there on the Sunday before Labor Day in 2019 (2nd last day). It was totally bullwinkle428 Aug 2021 #43
Good job LetMyPeopleVote Aug 2021 #5
Not going either. ProudMNDemocrat Aug 2021 #6
Whew. That would very likely have been disastrous. lagomorph777 Aug 2021 #7
I agree, they should cancel it. Haggard Celine Aug 2021 #8
good call imo barbtries Aug 2021 #9
There aren't enough wild horses to drag me there this year. Ocelot II Aug 2021 #10
You just enjoy the next monster truck event in safe environs True Dough Aug 2021 #27
Excellent call. Niagara Aug 2021 #11
I know I'm fighting a lonely battle on DU but Tomconroy Aug 2021 #12
I'm ignorant of the evidence provided by Major League Baseball KS Toronado Aug 2021 #13
A lot of games. A lot of crowds. No Covid outbreaks. Tomconroy Aug 2021 #15
I don't know what MLB considers an "outbreak" KS Toronado Aug 2021 #21
That's probably true, but we run some risks even in our homes, Tomconroy Aug 2021 #33
Why even take the risk under the circumstances? PufPuf23 Aug 2021 #19
But what if it actually is safe? There is real life evidence that it is. Tomconroy Aug 2021 #22
A major Spanish Flu outbreak followed a parade in Philadelphia. appleannie1 Aug 2021 #34
Th other day people were saying Obama's event was fine and the same for Lollapolooza. Treefrog Aug 2021 #35
The Obama thing was way over the top. Tomconroy Aug 2021 #37
And now Kanye has a big concert planned in Chicago with no vax requirements at all. Treefrog Aug 2021 #54
When my city (Philly) reinstituted the mask mandates a couple weeks ago BumRushDaShow Aug 2021 #38
You may be right, but to me those baseball seats look Tomconroy Aug 2021 #39
When I was looking up seat widths BumRushDaShow Aug 2021 #42
Of course the churches are indoors. I've been trying to think Tomconroy Aug 2021 #45
Don't forget that some of the data that the CDC used for recommending their changes in mask usage BumRushDaShow Aug 2021 #46
I've read the Provincetown study three times. There were many Tomconroy Aug 2021 #47
Many "outdoor" events have "indoor" components BumRushDaShow Aug 2021 #49
Actually I know virtually nothing about science or Tomconroy Aug 2021 #51
"study proves that vaccinated people can infect others with Covid. It does not do that" BumRushDaShow Aug 2021 #52
The Provincetown study was very explicit about the Tomconroy Aug 2021 #53
But that wasn't your argument BumRushDaShow Aug 2021 #58
Technically, my argument was that the Provincetown study Tomconroy Aug 2021 #59
Neither the Provincetown nor Wisconsin publications BumRushDaShow Aug 2021 #62
Which tells us a little but not too much. Tomconroy Aug 2021 #63
Consistency and validation across different populations and data sets tells QUITE a lot BumRushDaShow Aug 2021 #64
I went to a hip hop concert too. Had a great time. Tomconroy Aug 2021 #65
A "Ct" is an abbreviation for "Cycle threshold" BumRushDaShow Aug 2021 #67
Thanks for sharing. What about masks outside? ecstatic Aug 2021 #40
As far as I can tell there are no studies about masks outside. Tomconroy Aug 2021 #41
We usually go every year geardaddy Aug 2021 #14
Don't blame you a bit. paleotn Aug 2021 #16
Same issues here. There should be masks at minimum. findeerror Aug 2021 #17
Given the current status of cv19, the Minn State Fair Board most prudent step PufPuf23 Aug 2021 #18
I'd think it would be safe to hang out in the Christensen Pavilion early on a weekday. Klaralven Aug 2021 #20
I'm worried about visiting my Mom in the Twin Cities after the Great MN Superspreader Event. n/t TygrBright Aug 2021 #23
I had plans to attend a state fair, and dropped them. lindysalsagal Aug 2021 #24
Yup. I had plans to go to a show at the OC Fair. Initech Aug 2021 #32
Great choice! Dreampuff Aug 2021 #25
Masks or not, you couldn't get me near a crowded place like that MissMillie Aug 2021 #26
We just had our local Organized Labor Day picnic canceled. LiberalFighter Aug 2021 #28
👀 corn dogs and deep fried cheese curds at home?! Mersky Aug 2021 #29
Get the beef corn dogs. They cost more but worth it over the mystery meat dogs. keithbvadu2 Aug 2021 #30
There are all kinds of events going on here with cases exploding, not going anywhere. nt yaesu Aug 2021 #31
We all miss our favorite events and traditions Moebym Aug 2021 #36
Very smart move MM FakeNoose Aug 2021 #44
Some of whom are probably asymptomatic spreaders GopherGal Aug 2021 #61
But you'll miss the butter sculptures! struggle4progress Aug 2021 #48
I never liked crowds. Texaswitchy Aug 2021 #50
I love crowds and I miss them. Iggo Aug 2021 #60
Good idea about not going to the fair. panader0 Aug 2021 #55
I took my family to a county fair TheFarseer Aug 2021 #56
Update: Her Friends Also Decided Not to Go. MineralMan Aug 2021 #57
I absolutely LOVE the MN state fair. CrackityJones75 Aug 2021 #66
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