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Hyper_Eye

(689 posts)

11. I am happy with Nate's numbers tonight but I'm really curious about what he will write tomorrow.

Fri Oct 19, 2012, 01:27 AM

Oct 2012

I didn't get the sense that the numbers would shift this way from his blog post today. I hope he intends to explain it tomorrow. I hold 538 in high regard but I like to know what moves the numbers. I don't think I have felt more dread about this election than I did all day today. Even the first debate didn't have me feeling this way. I didn't want to go to work and once I got there I wanted to leave early. The day simply had a bad start as I was depressed from looking at all the numbers from the night before, the day started with the front page of CNN blasting the increase in the number of newly unemployed for the week, and then the Gallup poll came along and just stomped out all the wind I had left. The update to 538 was not enough to completely alleviate my worries tonight but I certainly feel a little better. I think there were a lot of people who felt the way I did today. On to tomorrow!

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Now THIS Is What I Like To See... [View all] Hissyspit Oct 2012 OP

The times knows how to do it! deaniac21 Oct 2012 #1

thrilled NMlib Oct 2012 #2

almost NMlib Oct 2012 #4

Loving it slmiller52 Oct 2012 #3

welcome to DU, and yes that is a great chart. hrmjustin Oct 2012 #6

Wait, whut? chollybocker Oct 2012 #5

I saw it. Yeah... Hissyspit Oct 2012 #7

That's the NOW cast. As in, "if the election were held now..." SunSeeker Oct 2012 #10

I am very encouraged, my dear Hissyspit! CaliforniaPeggy Oct 2012 #8

interestingly, compared to the home page, now-cast has a higher percentage but lower electoral vote. unblock Oct 2012 #9

Well, technically... Hissyspit Oct 2012 #14

I am happy with Nate's numbers tonight but I'm really curious about what he will write tomorrow. Hyper_Eye Oct 2012 #11

It takes a few days for the debate response to show up. I believe that is what you are seeing here, Hissyspit Oct 2012 #12

He has stated in the past that debates don't matter very much. Hyper_Eye Oct 2012 #16

IMO, the 3rd debate won't move the numbers LondonReign2 Oct 2012 #24

I had the same feeling NMlib Oct 2012 #15

purrrr. nice blue line. prrr n/t flamingdem Oct 2012 #13

This comment has earned the Ceiling Cat Seal of Approval. nt Hissyspit Oct 2012 #22

Why thank you very much! flamingdem Oct 2012 #23

That's a beautiful sight. AtomicKitten Oct 2012 #17

Women votes coming back to blue I guess, maybe... Amonester Oct 2012 #18

This is such welcome news. I think my blood pressure dropped to near normal. SleeplessinSoCal Oct 2012 #19

What do we know about what Nate meant by . . . SleeplessinSoCal Oct 2012 #20

Good morning kick. nt Hissyspit Oct 2012 #21