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modrepub

(4,071 posts)

15. And That 2% Disease

Reply to Arkansas Granny (Original post)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 09:08 AM

Sep 2021

Is enough to overwhelm the health-care system, funeral industry and wreck the global economic system.

Imagine if we get something going that has the morbidity rate like that of the Black Death (70%). Given how this disease has impacted us, I can see how medieval and ancient societies were brought to their knees when pandemics broke out.

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For these idiots saying there is a 98% survival rate with Covid. [View all] Arkansas Granny Sep 2021 OP

And of course long term complications for those who do survive! essaynnc Sep 2021 #1

Yes, a lot of people do not go back to normal PatSeg Sep 2021 #8

i had west nile 20 years ago. i'm still f'd up. mopinko Sep 2021 #11

Oh, that is absolutely awful PatSeg Sep 2021 #36

and that's w/o serious illness. mopinko Sep 2021 #39

Yes, I agree PatSeg Sep 2021 #44

Agree. We have set too low of a bar wnylib Sep 2021 #54

Excellent point PatSeg Sep 2021 #71

West Nile is much more complicated LeftInTX Sep 2021 #43

i think we are about to learn a whole lot about viruses. esp long term. mopinko Sep 2021 #49

That's such a good point Dorian Gray Sep 2021 #58

well at least they cant call that many people crazy. mopinko Sep 2021 #59

And we don't know how it affecting kids either. cynical_idealist Sep 2021 #69

I simply can't understand Mad_Machine76 Sep 2021 #2

That's the whole point MiniMe Sep 2021 #4

According to World O Meter The King of Prussia Sep 2021 #16

Actual figure is 0.2% in US. See my post #17 (which I used Worldometer for numbers). . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #18

Denial milestogo Sep 2021 #19

The ability John Ludi Sep 2021 #3

Reading Metzinger? Dave says Sep 2021 #65

No... John Ludi Sep 2021 #70

My reply to the last person who blithered that reasoning to me was vanlassie Sep 2021 #5

Thom Hartmann asks gibraltar72 Sep 2021 #6

I made that exact point genxlib Sep 2021 #7

But it would be 10 out of 500 ybbor Sep 2021 #9

Yup, the vaccinated have about a 1 in a million chance of dying from Covid-19 Farmer-Rick Sep 2021 #12

Your comparison is bogus, apples to oranges. Your bases are different and your time periods bogus Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #22

So you are saying a vaccinated person has a 20 in a million chance of dying from Covid-19? Farmer-Rick Sep 2021 #38

That's my best educated guess. I'm not an epidemiologist Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #42

Thanks for keeping me straight. Farmer-Rick Sep 2021 #46

But there are variations according to age groups wnylib Sep 2021 #61

Here's a DU post of a Tiktok tweet that agrees somewhat (1 in 86,000) with my numbers: Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #51

Good info. Farmer-Rick Sep 2021 #56

True genxlib Sep 2021 #21

Actually, your original figure of 0.2% applies NOW AND your/OP analogy still powerful. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #34

I call it covid roulette. wnylib Sep 2021 #57

Super spreader events are probably worse odds. Wear a mask or be a filter. bucolic_frolic Sep 2021 #10

I met a woman last week Orrex Sep 2021 #13

And many others would leave with permanent heart or lung damage, or cognitive disability. (eom) Malmsy Sep 2021 #14

And That 2% Disease modrepub Sep 2021 #15

Point is great, but that statistic is bogus. Actual figures are 0.2% or 1.6% Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #17

Not following the 2% being 2/1000? pwb Sep 2021 #20

Arithmeticly, 2% of 50,000 is 1,000. But you didn't read my post. 2% DOES NOT APPLY. . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #23

The O P said 98% survive? That leaves 2%? pwb Sep 2021 #24

And the professor's argument is that the OP does not describe reality FBaggins Sep 2021 #27

Yes. 98.4% survive a positive test result. 99.8% of the population has survived so far. Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #32

The OP is wrong. You don't get the vaccine AFTER case confirmation. Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #29

Nor are the remaining undecideds a mirror of the entire population FBaggins Sep 2021 #33

I think the professor is trying to correct the stadium analogy FBaggins Sep 2021 #26

You got it. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #30

Thank you for bringing actual facts to the table GusBob Sep 2021 #60

Those numbers would shatter any Army on Earth. gordianot Sep 2021 #25

There have been approximately 41 million Covid cases in the US Fortinbras Armstrong Sep 2021 #28

All this emphasis on how many die vs. how many survive wnylib Sep 2021 #63

All this emphasis on how many die vs. how many survive wnylib Sep 2021 #64

That's fine and all, but I have a good friend in Florida... SKKY Sep 2021 #31

A Good Friend, Huh? SoCalDavidS Sep 2021 #40

I see this a lot on the DU. KentuckyWoman Sep 2021 #50

When People Show Their True Colors SoCalDavidS Sep 2021 #55

Nor can I KentuckyWoman. Nor can I... SKKY Sep 2021 #67

Yes I do, and I care about her so what you have suggested is not an option... SKKY Sep 2021 #66

So 2% of the population just really doesn't matter lees1975 Sep 2021 #35

It's 0.2% but your point is good and stands. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #48

Actually, the idiots say there is 99.97 survival rate Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2021 #37

20 percent will come down with the infection Corgigal Sep 2021 #41

Until the medical system is overwhelmed Strelnikov_ Sep 2021 #52

There are worse things than death KentuckyWoman Sep 2021 #45

This, long term heath effects are quite a gamble to take. Jon King Sep 2021 #47

I think that we need to stress this. . . . h2ebits Sep 2021 #62

Case fatality has held at 2% for 18 months IbogaProject Sep 2021 #53

Better yet a 50,000 Deplorable crowd 90%+ unvaccinated. NoMoreRepugs Sep 2021 #68

If they "survive" they have all sorts of other problems brought patricia92243 Sep 2021 #72

and a rattlesnake bite has a 99.5% chance of survival DBoon Sep 2021 #73

I think the death rate on Delta is higher than the previous variants. roamer65 Sep 2021 #74