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In reply to the discussion: This woman is ON FIRE!!! She knows her numbers!! [View all]Bernardo de La Paz
(49,001 posts)62. No. I don't and you know it. So don't say (stuff) like that I never said.
What your 40 --> 100 transformation does to the numbers is on the order of magnitude of (maybe) turning the 100 to 1 advantage down to 40 to one. Or something similar. I haven't crunched that set of numbers the way my other posts have.
A 40 to one advantage (or 100 to 1 or something in between) is still a big advantage.
So, yeah, 100 million is bigger than 40 million but emphasizing it the way you do makes it seem that getting vaccinated is not worth much.
You wouldn't try to stuff words into my mouth if you weren't defending some kind of weird weak proposition. If you had something that was clearly defensible you'd state it clearly. What is it that you are defending anyway? As if I said 60 million is nothing. Which of course I didn't say. And further I acknowledge that 250% is not 160%. BUT IT DOESN'T CHANGE THE CONCLUSION EVEN IF WE ACCEPT THAT ONE PART OF THE CALCULATION IS 250% OFF. (We don't necessarily accept or reject but might accept it later).
Her numbers and my numbers are about CONFIRMED cases. Your numbers are (educated) conjectures about total cases, confirmed and unconfirmed.
The proposition to put right in the center the way the video does correctly and accurately is the conclusion that vaccination is VERY powerful against Covid.
Her numbers are accurate in the way she characterized them and stated them.
Her calculations are accurate the way she did them.
Her results are accurate and important.
Her conclusion is true.
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her numbers are way off, there have been at least 100 million US cases, likely more, not 41m
Celerity
Sep 2021
#41
I wrote (twice) "confirmed cases". Her numbers also follow that. As does Worldometers
Bernardo de La Paz
Sep 2021
#46
your maths are way off as well, you are using a flawed formula on the simplest of things
Celerity
Sep 2021
#47
Okay, so your factor is 2.5, not 1.6. Barely one binary bit. Factor of 100 to 1 dominates
Bernardo de La Paz
Sep 2021
#54
if you think that the difference between 40 million and 100 million as a base input is not large
Celerity
Sep 2021
#58
No. I don't and you know it. So don't say (stuff) like that I never said.
Bernardo de La Paz
Sep 2021
#62
Only accurate for an fundamentally incorrect amount of cases, and tbh, not even then, as she also
Celerity
Sep 2021
#64
According to the John Hopkins Covid 19 dashboard, as of right now, there have been
Fla Dem
Sep 2021
#71
Did you click on the link? The CDC itself estimates 120 million cases as of last May.
Crunchy Frog
Sep 2021
#92
Yes, correct even if will shift a bit in time. But the BIG SIGNAL is that the vaccines work well.
Bernardo de La Paz
Sep 2021
#55
Sure. But the fundamental scourge of the low-info types is the desire for 100% solutions
Bernardo de La Paz
Sep 2021
#63
This. Plus, these numbers need to be broken down to reflect risk to seniors/impaired immunity
JudyM
Sep 2021
#94
I posted her TikTok a couple of days ago...just love her, and yes she knows her numbers
PortTack
Sep 2021
#19
How I was able to substantiate the numbers...Someone could probably do better though
Chakaconcarne
Sep 2021
#29
VAERS is a self-reporting site. Your skepticism is well advised. . . . . nt
Bernardo de La Paz
Sep 2021
#74
Everyone has 2 minutes and 16 seconds to watch this...You can watch this while taking a poop
Stuart G
Sep 2021
#35
I had trouble believing that billions of shots have been given but she's right!
Laurelin
Sep 2021
#52
And their parents do this stupid as shit too. No masks/no vaccines 30,000 people in a cow pasture
Botany
Sep 2021
#73
And they complain about being "sheep" when they are literally corralled in.
littlemissmartypants
Sep 2021
#76
You are right! I was remembering another shot from the same rally where they really had ....
Botany
Sep 2021
#89
The shot is free. Funerals are expensive. You can get a few discounts for child funerals. . . . nt
Bernardo de La Paz
Sep 2021
#75
Oh, doubters. What are our odds of contracting, spreading, dying of covid when 90% are vaccinated?
jaxexpat
Sep 2021
#72