RE: "He did receive 11.2 million more votes in 2020 than he did in 2016."
2020 was a record year for voter turnout. Biden won by the most votes in US history. Both (D)s and (R)s had more votes than in previous elections.
Whether Biden, Harris, or any other Democrat is on the ticket in 2024 is irrelevant to this discussion - which is about whether Trump will run and win.
Again, I have to ask where will the votes come from to give him the majority if he does run? The people have spoken on the topic of a Trump presidency - and I've yet to see any evidence that those who voted against him are open to changing their minds.
Yes, anything can happen in the next three years - but nothing on the horizon bodes well for Trump; in fact, it's all negative. He's under investigation for a myriad of criminal activities, he incited an insurrection, he's embroiled in countless lawsuits, and his "brand" has become toxic.
Trump was elected on the boast that he was a self-made billionaire, a genius who graduated at the top of every school he attended, a straight-shooter who was going to "drain the swamp" in DC. When he left office, all of these boasts were proven to be lies.
So what does he run on in 2024? How does he convince the majority of voters that his disastrous "pResidency" wasn't what we all now know it to be?
And then there's his obvious mental decline. The more pressure he's under, the more he shows signs of cracking. I suspect that over the next year or so, his mental and physical decline will become more apparent. Even those who adore him won't vote to put a feeble old man, completely divorced from reality, in the WH and the role of Commander-in-Chief.
My prediction is that within the next 18 months, any discussion about Trump being elected again will be moot. He's already damaged goods - and the damage continues on an ongoing basis.
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