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Xithras

(16,191 posts)
18. The case isn't nearly as straightforward as it's being presented in the media.
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 03:33 PM
Oct 2012

They were NOT convicted of failing to predict a quake. Here's the nutshell version of what happened, to the best of my recollection:

A medieval stone city sits in an area that has a long history of earthquake swarms. Since the 1300's the residents of the city have had a standard way of responding to them...when the first quake hits, they evacuate some of the more dangerous parts of town, camp outside of their homes, etc. This is perfectly normal to them, and has a long local history. Sometimes this go on for months, and sometimes just days. Instead of living in their dangerous homes, they get our of them until the "danger passes".

In 2009 two small quakes hit, and many of the people in the town quickly began preparations to evacuate or began moving outside of their homes. The government official, along with several seismologists, went to a town hall meeting and on TV to tell the people in the town that there was no need to evacuate or worry, that earthquakes couldn't be predicted, and that they were perfectly safe in their homes. The towns traditional response to the swarms was to get to safety, but the local government and these seismologists told them to stay in their homes. Documents showed that the seismologists were actually aware of the towns history of earthquake swarms, but the overriding concern at a meeting between them and the local government was to pacify the town and "keep things normal".

When the quake struck 7 days later, over 300 people were killed as the old stone buildings collapsed on them. If the townspeople had evacuated or moved outside, a substantial percentage of them may have lived.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

There seems to be a lot of incentive to stay out of Italy. Thatsa Shame. CBGLuthier Oct 2012 #1
Or make sure you've got a lawyer with you. n/t pnwmom Oct 2012 #2
Appalling. redwitch Oct 2012 #3
The appeal is automatic under their system. What is also crazy to me pnwmom Oct 2012 #6
I can't believe they were convicted Stargazer09 Oct 2012 #4
How will they ever get any scientist to sit on that commission again? pnwmom Oct 2012 #5
I understand that people died Stargazer09 Oct 2012 #12
If I were a seismologist, I'd would then tell everyone to evacuate every single time. Ikonoklast Oct 2012 #10
No kidding Stargazer09 Oct 2012 #14
Why am I thinking of natural gas fracking here? valerief Oct 2012 #7
They weren't predicting. They were all members of a national commission pnwmom Oct 2012 #9
Shades of Galileo. RomneyLies Oct 2012 #8
Ican't even laugh about this. lalalu Oct 2012 #11
They're either really depressed or in a state of shock. pnwmom Oct 2012 #15
wow ..just wow! mshasta Oct 2012 #13
Well that's really going to encourage bright young Italians to enter into seismology. Nye Bevan Oct 2012 #16
Don't give the GOP any ideas Politicalboi Oct 2012 #17
The case isn't nearly as straightforward as it's being presented in the media. Xithras Oct 2012 #18
It isn't true that the seismologists told people to stay in their homes. pnwmom Oct 2012 #21
" they want more and better information about possible future quakes" 4th law of robotics Oct 2012 #19
They should have stuck to reading chickent entrails like the old Romans did. Tierra_y_Libertad Oct 2012 #20
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