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nichomachus

(12,754 posts)
20. A 50-year-old myth
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 04:49 PM
Oct 2012

At the time they made the announcement and declared it an "eyeball-to-eyeball" confrontation, the boat carrying the missiles was 750 miles away from Cuba and headed back toward the Soviet Union. From Michael Dobbs:

While researching a 2008 book on the missile crisis, I plotted the positions of Soviet and American ships during this period, on the basis of United States intelligence records. I was stunned to discover that the lead Soviet ship, the Kimovsk, was actually 750 miles away from the blockade line, heading back toward the Soviet Union, at the time of the supposed “eyeball to eyeball” incident. Acting to avert a naval showdown, the Soviet premier, Nikita S. Khrushchev, had turned his missile-carrying freighters around some 30 hours earlier.

Kennedy was certainly bracing for an “eyeball to eyeball” moment, but it never happened. There is now plenty of evidence that Kennedy — like Khrushchev — was a lot less steely-eyed than depicted in the initial accounts of the crisis, which were virtually dictated by the White House. Tape-recorded transcripts of White House debates and notes from participants show that Kennedy was prepared to make significant concessions, including a public trade of Soviet missiles in Cuba for American missiles in Turkey and possibly the surrender of the United States naval base at Guantánamo Bay.

While the risk of war in October 1962 was very high (Kennedy estimated it variously at between 1 in 5 and 1 in 2), it was not caused by a clash of wills. The real dangers arose from “the fog of war.” As the two superpowers geared up for a nuclear war, the chances of something going terribly wrong increased exponentially. To their credit, both Kennedy and Khrushchev understood this dynamic, which became particularly evident on the most nerve-racking day of all, “Black Saturday.”

By Saturday, Oct. 27, the two leaders were no longer in full control of their gigantic military machines, which were moving forward under their own momentum. Soviet troops on Cuba targeted Guantánamo with tactical nuclear weapons and shot down an American U-2 spy plane. Another U-2, on a “routine” air sampling mission to the North Pole, got lost over the Soviet Union. The Soviets sent MiG fighters into the air to try to shoot down the American intruder, and in response, Alaska Air Defense Command scrambled F-102 interceptors armed with tactical nuclear missiles. In the Caribbean, a frazzled Soviet submarine commander was dissuaded by his subordinates from using his nuclear torpedo against American destroyers that were trying to force him to the surface.


A 50-year-old myth

But it makes a great story.

I was in college at the time. ROTC was required of all undergraduates (it was an all-male school) and we had a large advanced ROTC corps.

Some joker got hold of the ROTC stationary and cut imaginary orders for each advanced ROTC student to report for immediate military service to prepare for an invasion of Cuba. Hilarity ensued.

One guy was ready to go, packed his uniform and his .22 rifle in a suitcase and was waiting for others to get ready. Another guy was on the phone to his lawyer. Other guys were walking around bumping into walls. They never found out who did it.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Duck and cover! El Supremo Oct 2012 #1
Every time someone talks about a high stress job I tell them of my mother.... Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #15
Me, too! Rhiannon12866 Oct 2012 #22
Good thing JFK was president that day, otherwise none of us might be here. Octafish Oct 2012 #2
Romney would have gone the route of Nixon. berni_mccoy Oct 2012 #3
After the Bay of Pigs this event made the Kennedy reelection a shoe in... Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #11
JFK was going to remove the advisers from Vietnam. hifiguy Oct 2012 #12
Meanwhile LBJ was tied to a tiny company in Texas that made helicopters.... Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #18
4 months late, but you are soooo right, Octafish!! Cooley Hurd Jan 2013 #23
I have only vague memories of those years - but it seems to me that my hedgehog Oct 2012 #4
Hollywood version is pretty good. longship Oct 2012 #5
Pulled that out again because of this post; that was two well-spent hours today. (nt) Posteritatis Oct 2012 #21
I remember this distinctly... WCGreen Oct 2012 #6
The unabridged version of the statement for the curious with 18 free minutes: Posteritatis Oct 2012 #7
A suggestion jehop61 Oct 2012 #8
On my reading list Cooley Hurd Oct 2012 #9
There are right-wingers today who claim Kennedy was a "commie". Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #10
There were back then too. hifiguy Oct 2012 #14
I remember seeing that before and always get a chuckle they included "wheat deals" on their list. Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #16
Kennedy was considered a hero. dawg Oct 2012 #13
Not only that but they would be screaming that he's not listening to "generals on the ground". Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #17
Both Kennedy and Khrushchev had to stand up to hifiguy Oct 2012 #19
A 50-year-old myth nichomachus Oct 2012 #20
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»50 years ago today. Presi...»Reply #20