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paleotn

(17,912 posts)
3. Simple economics and human nature....
Thu Nov 25, 2021, 11:06 PM
Nov 2021

Higher than "normal" prices aren't good for anyone since they dampen demand, hurting commodity producers in the long run. OPEC and other oil producers knows this as well as anyone. That's why they attempt to keep global oil prices at a "sweet spot" where demand and supply are in balance. They're making money, but not destroying demand in the process. The last thing they want is all of us going out and buying Priuses and using far less oil, though that wouldn't necessarily be a bad thing. Add nimble, US frackers to the equation and oil prices, particularly in the US, may come down quickly in coming months.

For other products, once capacity that was idled during the height of the pandemic in 2020 is fully back on line, supplies will increase to meet demand. Often times, supply overshoots demand and prices decline relatively rapidly.

Price spikes like we're seeing aren't necessarily a bad thing. They're the creaks and groans of the global economy returning to normal. DC put tons of money in American's pockets during the pandemic and they're spending it. Just more on stuff and less on services than expected, driving shortages. A slight miscalculation, but still, we're in a hell of a lot better spot than 2020 because of it.

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