New ARG NH poll has Romney up by 2

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6. national polls won't cheer him

he's got to be depressed looking at the polls in the states which actually will make the difference in this race.

Charlie Cook: http://nationaljournal.com/columns/off-to-the-races/will-third-debate-change-the-electoral-math--20121023?mrefid=site_search

. . . if the national polls are looking even, that doesn’t mean that the election is an even-money contest. Although this race is very close, the road to 270 electoral votes is considerably more difficult for Romney than it is for Obama. The president starts off with undisputed leads in 16 states and the District of Columbia with 237 electoral votes, 33 short of the 270 needed to win. Romney begins with equally clear leads in 23 states with 191 electoral votes, 79 short of a victory. Nine states with 110 electoral votes are in the admittedly broad Toss-Up column (Colorado, Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin). Obama needs to win 30 percent of those Toss-Up electoral votes; Romney needs 72 percent of those votes.