Omicron may be headed for a rapid drop in US and Britain

[muriel_volestrangler]

5. That's reasonable for the UK; it looks like the new cases peak for 7 day average was on Jan 5th

https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-03-01..latest&facet=none&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=new_cases_per_million&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=USA~GBR

For the US - from that graph, it looks like another 5 or 6 days before the peak at best, if it follow the same trajectory. But you'd expect the cases to be spread out more, in a larger country, just by the law of averages (and that's basically been the case so far). And that may well mean the overall US numbers have a longer time climbing before their peak.

(London, which led the overall UK figures in cases, peaked about 20th Dec, though that's harder to judge because of the holidays just after that: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases?areaType=region%26areaName=London#card-cases_by_specimen_date

Numbers in hospital in the UK are still rising, but there's just about a sign that the rate of increase is tailing off: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare#card-patients_in_hospital

Deaths in the UK aren't so smooth, but they are still rising: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths#card-deaths_within_28_days_of_positive_test_by_date_reported