Nate Silver ups Obama's chances to 71%; swing state firewall very real [View all]

[boxman15]

That's Obama's highest since Oct. 9 and the momentum is clearly in Obama's favor. Plus, look at his odds in swing states:

Wisconsin (10 EVs) - 82%
Nevada (6) - 75.9%
Ohio (18) - 73.4%
New Hampshire (4) - 67.2%
Iowa (6) - 66.5%
Virginia (13) - 52.9%
Colorado (9) - 52.2%
Florida (29) - 32.4%
North Carolina (15) - 15.1%

All Obama needs to do is win WI, NV, and OH and he wins. If he wins in the states he's favored in, that's 303 electoral votes. We're really in excellent shape. Now's not the time to be complacent, though.