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In reply to the discussion: I Will Speculate on An End to Russia's Ukraine Invasion [View all]Eyeball_Kid
(7,604 posts)39. No.
If Putin withdraws, he loses. He has already defines victory in absolute terms. He destroys the myth of omnipotence and he is no longer feared. He dies a quick death. He also cannot give UKR an opportunity to get huge shipments of arms flooding into every corner of Ukraine. Regardless, he cannot defeat 20 million enraged and armed Ukrainians. So hes a loser politically, economically, militarily.
His doom is sealed
unless
He flees to the US and runs to Trump in Florida. Thats a joke.
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Unnnn, Russia is trying to dump is oil on open market cause no one is shipping it (link)
uponit7771
Mar 2022
#12
Sort of. However, there's nobody near him, so he'll be the only one who dies.
MineralMan
Mar 2022
#17
K&R, There are 2 military analyst on OSINT IINM who think the UA forces have a 50/50 chance now
uponit7771
Mar 2022
#7
No, not yet but the way things are going the Russians aren't going to be able to fight for
uponit7771
Mar 2022
#42
Good analysis if he has any logical thinking left. I think he will stick it out for at least another
Quixote1818
Mar 2022
#18
I expect Putin will try to hang onto enough of Ukraine to call a ceasefire and make a deal.
patphil
Mar 2022
#19
I agree. Putin will have to be led to this position through sanctions and battlefield failure.
patphil
Mar 2022
#75
The only way he "holds" Crimea is with military force, he is slowly but SURELY running out of that
uponit7771
Mar 2022
#45
He won't leave that easily. At the very least, he'll level the cities before going.
tinrobot
Mar 2022
#32
Putin needs a way out without losing face. That is what the West needs to work on.
Doodley
Mar 2022
#37
I think the western allies should keep the sanctions in place until Russia agrees to
Gaugamela
Mar 2022
#40
Looks like the Russian economy is rapidly turning to rubble, or, the ruble is rubble
Hekate
Mar 2022
#44
Boomer Bravado by people 12,000 miles away should not be considered sufficient.
bluewater
Mar 2022
#65
I would not be surprised if Putin is assassinated (or "dies from a heart attack") soon.
Rabrrrrrr
Mar 2022
#50
I hope you're right! But, if Putin starts WWIII, Putin, China, U.S., India and others combined
TeamProg
Mar 2022
#76
Allow me, endgame is taking Odessa, southern ports, kill prez, give it 6 wks
Shanti Shanti Shanti
Mar 2022
#81