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mzmolly

(52,864 posts)
9. Lots of encouraging news in the most recent analysis:
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 07:54 PM
Oct 2012
To the extent that there was a trend in the state polls, it was slightly favorable for Mr. Obama. Among the eight polls that had previously published numbers after the first presidential debate in Denver, Mr. Obama gained about one percentage point, on average.


...

Mr. Romney’s bounce has receded some since his post-Denver peak.


...

The FiveThirtyEight forecast has Mr. Obama leading the popular vote along with the Electoral College, because it uses both state and national polls to calibrate its estimate of where the vote stands.


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