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usonian

(23,411 posts)
Wed Apr 13, 2022, 01:29 PM Apr 2022

Mathematical model offers clear-cut answers to how morals will change over time [View all]

https://phys.org/news/2022-04-mathematical-clear-cut-morals.html

Summary: The liberal trend continues

My Opinion: The GOP assault on reality, with us since the days of Nixon and John Birch, continues, hopefully having reached a peak with the assault on the Capitol. IF WE HOLD TOGETHER THIS YEAR, we can beat all the last-gasp obstacles.

snippet
Researchers at the Institute for Futures Studies in Stockholm, Sweden, have created a mathematical model to predict changes in moral opinion. It predicts that values about corporal punishment of children, abortion-rights and how parental leave should be shared between parents, will all move in liberal directions in the U.S. Results from a first test of the model using data from large opinion surveys continuously conducted in the U.S. are promising.

Corporal punishment of children, such as spanking or paddling, is still widely accepted in the U.S. But public opinion is changing rapidly, and in the United States and elsewhere around the world, this norm will soon become a marginal position. The right to abortion is currently being threatened through a series of court cases—but though change is slow, the view of abortion as a right will eventually come to dominate. A majority of Americans today reject the claim that parental leave should be equally shared between parents, but within 15 years, public opinion will flip, and a majority will support an equal division.

Almost all moral issues are moving in the liberal direction.

Paper here: https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.211068
PDF download: https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rsos.211068?download=true

A BLUE WAVE IF WE WORK HARD AND GOTV
My recommendations:
https://democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=16589262
Elections seem to be won "at the edge"

SO MESSAGE THIS!
DNC Chairman Harrison emphasizes the opposition's
Fraud
Fear
Fascism
, and I'll throw in (thanks to others on DU)
"Every accusation is a confession."
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