General Discussion

DavidDvorkin

(20,532 posts)

27. There's an inconsistency there that confuses me

Wed Dec 14, 2011, 02:00 PM

Dec 2011

Gingrich is at a high if you look at the price for a share of him. But if you look at the percentage chance of his getting the nomination (what you see if you click Latest), which is what I watch, he was over 39% a few days ago, and now he's at 31%. He was just above 30% this morning, when I wrote that post.

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Romney is finished [View all] grantcart Dec 2011 OP

No one will be drafted from the floor. One of these clowns will emerge. And that's it. RBInMaine Dec 2011 #1

You are still operating on the old rules where a winner got all of the delegates. grantcart Dec 2011 #5

I'm not so sure. There's still plenty of time for Newt to implode. AtomicKitten Dec 2011 #2

He's a runaway train. A train that will go off the cliff, imo. n/t deacon Dec 2011 #13

Newtie will be AWOL* by April SpiralHawk Dec 2011 #15

Good synopsis Old and In the Way Dec 2011 #3

I disagree.... JohnnyRingo Dec 2011 #4

They have lots of people who look good in suits but don't have his baggage grantcart Dec 2011 #6

Agreed Sherman A1 Dec 2011 #9

I am all but certain it will go to the Convention. Firebrand Gary Dec 2011 #7

The 'fat lady' ain't even started yet! nt jannyk Dec 2011 #8

She's still gargling her lemon juice. Chipper Chat Dec 2011 #11

Yes probably so. SammyWinstonJack Dec 2011 #12

Who are the governors that have a shot? n/t RainDog Dec 2011 #10

They have 29 and they aren't all idiots grantcart Dec 2011 #21

When I hear Romney sendero Dec 2011 #14

Mr. Chairman, the Great State of Louisiana is proud to nominate Owlet Dec 2011 #16

The problem with Bobby Jindal is he isn't a very good orator. LAGC Dec 2011 #17

Just saw a couple of Ron Paul ads this morning that pick Newtie to pieces Skidmore Dec 2011 #18

FWIW, Intrade currently shows Romney at 49% and Newt at 32%. pampango Dec 2011 #19

But Romney was 70 just a few weeks ago and the key in a primary is momentum grantcart Dec 2011 #20

On Intrade, Romney seems to have regained momentum DavidDvorkin Dec 2011 #22

We definitely aren't looking at the same charts grantcart Dec 2011 #23

I've been watching the percentages on the main page DavidDvorkin Dec 2011 #24

Now I am confused when you hit on Gingrich's graph how do you conclude that he is slipping, grantcart Dec 2011 #25

There's an inconsistency there that confuses me DavidDvorkin Dec 2011 #27

And now it's Romney 52.9%, Gingrich 28.2% DavidDvorkin Dec 2011 #39

Right now on Intrade: Romney 61%, Gingrich 15% DavidDvorkin Dec 2011 #45

I still don't see a brokered covention sufrommich Dec 2011 #26

Let's ask it this way. Currently no candidate is getting more than 35% in any one primary. grantcart Dec 2011 #31

It would be very hard for it to stay a 3 way race though. sufrommich Dec 2011 #37

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaargh grantcart Dec 2011 #42

This leads to an obvious question-- Jackpine Radical Dec 2011 #28

No because I don't think anybody in the primaries is going to be the nominee grantcart Dec 2011 #32

That's interesting speculation. Jackpine Radical Dec 2011 #38

I would look at this team grantcart Dec 2011 #43

The Republican machine is firing up behind Romney taught_me_patience Dec 2011 #29

Rick Perry, Mitt Romney internals show Newt Gingrich slippage, sources say DavidDvorkin Dec 2011 #30

Interesting, especially the last two paragraphs grantcart Dec 2011 #35

If Romney doesn't get the nomination this time DavidDvorkin Dec 2011 #36

Who are the people who would vote for Newt Gingrich!? Fire Walk With Me Dec 2011 #33

High end jewelry sales persons grantcart Dec 2011 #34

and divorce lawyers aint_no_life_nowhere Dec 2011 #40

LOL! Wind Dancer Dec 2011 #41

An old college classmate of mine is actually heading up Newt's local campaign. Tommy_Carcetti Dec 2011 #46

It'll be Jeb. They miss having a shrub in the WH. n/t Scuba Dec 2011 #44