Douglas County Kansas, home of the big university, voted 82% "No".

[Amishman]

7. Unfortunately their base isn't dwindling

https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-republican-advance-in-the-south-and-other-party-registration-trends/

Republicans are gaining ground in voter registration. Worse, they are gaining ground in key swing states (PA, FL).

Our growth has been in already solidly blue states, or in blue areas of red states. Our geographic disadvantage is getting worse.

Also problematic is the rise of independent voters, who are painfully fickle.

in 2022 - 31 states that track party registration. We currently top 10 of them, The pubs 12, and independents lead 9.

In 2000 - 27 states tracked party registration. We topped 13 of them, Pubs 7, and independents 7.

The narrative that their base is withering, that our dominance is a matter of demographic inevitability - is utterly dead. We need to realize this and adjust accordingly. There is no progressive majority on the horizon, coming to sweep the rightwingers out of power. We are looking at being on the defensive quite a bit for the foreseeable future, with our gains coming in small incremental bites.