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hamsterjill

(17,659 posts)

9. I wish I had your optimism.

Reply to ColinC (Original post)

Fri Aug 19, 2022, 11:52 AM

Aug 2022

But I’m too much of a realist.

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Colin's 2022 election predictions [View all] ColinC Aug 2022 OP

1) Maybe brooklynite Aug 2022 #1

We will see ColinC Aug 2022 #2

Well then, Bettie Aug 2022 #11

We definitely won't lose everything Polybius Aug 2022 #14

I don't think that anything is impossible Bettie Aug 2022 #18

Two are impossible Polybius Aug 2022 #22

Didn't say that, did I? brooklynite Aug 2022 #17

DeSantis is trailing in the polls. The repubs are in for some real bad press. rubbersole Aug 2022 #3

No, he's not. brooklynite Aug 2022 #8

He doesn't have a D opponent yet Sky Jewels Aug 2022 #10

He polls ahead of both Crist and Fried. brooklynite Aug 2022 #19

Right, but that's based on a theoretical premise and neither one has campaigned as the nominee. Sky Jewels Aug 2022 #20

It is not the same...we won't know where we stand until after Tuesday. Demsrule86 Aug 2022 #21

DeSantis has a 50% approval rating... brooklynite Aug 2022 #25

You are correct. rubbersole Aug 2022 #28

No he's not, he's leading in every poll Polybius Aug 2022 #15

Again, Im sounding like a broken record, but are we really so confident right now that polls are ColinC Aug 2022 #39

All are plausible except for number 4, which is pretty likely not happening (especially the state Celerity Aug 2022 #4

Gerrymanders only work to an extent ColinC Aug 2022 #5

No one is talking about a massive Blue wave election, have yet to see that one, and even then that Celerity Aug 2022 #16

I agree, nobody is talking about it. ColinC Aug 2022 #26

even if it does, that Red Wall at state legislated level will almost assuredly hold Celerity Aug 2022 #30

I think if it happens, it will be this year. If not this year, it may never. ColinC Aug 2022 #31

My detailed analysis shows the possibility is simply not there, we are too dominated at state Celerity Aug 2022 #34

You are right Cosmocat Aug 2022 #46

That is true. I saw a Gerrymander fall in Georgia at the state level...of course it was our Demsrule86 Aug 2022 #23

Gerrymanders certainly create favorable odds for a party by packing voters ColinC Aug 2022 #40

I like them since they tend to agree with mine... lees1975 Aug 2022 #6

Eh Cosmocat Aug 2022 #7

I don't put any faith in polls ColinC Aug 2022 #35

Polls are trending slightly our way Cosmocat Aug 2022 #37

The SC ruling changed the dynamics enormously ColinC Aug 2022 #38

Ok Cosmocat Aug 2022 #43

Look at actual recent voter turnout metrics compared to wave elections. ColinC Aug 2022 #44

Ok Cosmocat Aug 2022 #45

I wish I had your optimism. hamsterjill Aug 2022 #9

Wishful thinking bordering on fantasy onenote Aug 2022 #12

That is nonsense. In order to win anything, you first have to believe that you can... I hope I Demsrule86 Aug 2022 #24

I agree Bettie Aug 2022 #32

I was at least right about Alaska! ColinC Oct 2022 #48

All good news? Polybius Aug 2022 #13

No. It's all or nothing with me ColinC Aug 2022 #27

I think you are right. Woman will turn pukes on their heads. pwb Aug 2022 #29

All are possible except number 4. Elessar Zappa Aug 2022 #33

This sure is optimistic. ananda Aug 2022 #36

I love your enthusiasm vercetti2021 Aug 2022 #41

I would be worried too if polls have shown any bit of accuracy in regards to recent elections. ColinC Aug 2022 #42

It appears we aren't fucked this election Cosmocat Aug 2022 #47