Colin's 2022 election predictions

[Cosmocat]

47. It appears we aren't fucked this election

We are in a mid term after a d won the white house. It's always a rough go, plus gas prices and inflation. Fundamentals are flat bad

The SC abortion ruling appears to be kicking in and outside of their transparent desire to dismantle american demicracy, Rs are directionless.

If it were a potus election year that could push a MAJOR wave.

But the starting point is us being down a lot, so it pretty much gives us a chance to pull a major upset and able to keep the senate and possibly the house.

Just no way we get a majority of state assemblies w the gerrymandering at that level, I live in one of those states and know we are likely to win our gov and senate seats clearly, but not a chance in hell to get the state senate, a VERY distant chance we get the house.

This is mostly wishful thinking, it isnt just gerrymandering. It's about quality candidates, organizing ... we don't have anything going like Dean's 50 state push, and as batshit crazy as our politics is generally and how fucking dangerous the Rs are now gotta believe we don't have the massive slate of candidates to do it, either.