Young voters

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Election Week 2020: Young People Increase Turnout, Lead Biden to Victory
https://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/election-week-2020

Note: The analysis below reflects our youth voter turnout estimate based on data immediately available in the days and weeks after the 2020 Election Day. In Spring 2021, based on voter files from 40+ states, we revised our estimate of young people's electoral participation to 50%. Read more.

According to CIRCLE’s exclusive estimates, youth turnout was much higher in the 2020 election than in 2016.

Our calculations, based on votes counted as of November 18, suggest that 52%-55% of voting-eligible young people, ages 18-29, cast a ballot in the 2020 presidential election. Using the same methodology and data from a week after the election in 2016, we had previously estimated that youth voter turnout in 2016 was 42-44%.

In addition, we are projecting that once all votes are counted, youth turnout may rise to 53%-56%. Our 2016 projection based on the same data was that youth voter turnout that year would be 45%-48%. It’s notable that even the early youth turnout estimate for 2020 is higher than the projected estimate from 2016.

CIRCLE’s exclusive early turnout estimates are based on tallies of votes cast, and projected turnout uses vote totals from the U.S. Election Project (including projected totals in 2020). All estimates are based on the youth share of the vote from the National Election Pool exit polls by Edison Research. We are publishing a range for each estimate in order to account for the margin of error in the youth share of voters.

More at link https://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/election-week-2020#youth-voter-turnout-increased-in-2020